Traders see nearly even odds between a minimum of 67°F or below and 86°F or higher in Austin on September 18 because National Weather Service and private forecast models diverge sharply on overnight temperatures. A possible weak cold front could advect drier, cooler air southward, allowing radiational cooling under clear skies to drop readings into the mid-60s, while a stalled or absent front would leave the region under continued warm, humid southerly flow with minima remaining in the mid-80s. Ensemble guidance shows spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds, both of which strongly influence minimum temperature via the surface energy budget. Updated model runs tonight and early Wednesday morning will likely narrow the range ahead of the daily low observation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月18日のオースティンの最低気温は？
9月18日のオースティンの最低気温は？
68～69°F 37%
76～77°F 37%
78〜79°F 36%
72～73°F 30%
新規
新規
2026/09/18
華氏67度以下
11%
68～69°F
37%
70～71°F
26%
72～73°F
30%
74～75°F
28%
76～77°F
37%
78〜79°F
36%
80〜81°F
11%
82〜83°F
7%
84〜85°F
5%
86°F以上
4%
68～69°F 37%
76～77°F 37%
78〜79°F 36%
72～73°F 30%
新規
新規
2026/09/18
華氏67度以下
$0 Vol.
11%
68～69°F
$0 Vol.
37%
70～71°F
$21 Vol.
26%
72～73°F
$0 Vol.
30%
74～75°F
$0 Vol.
28%
76～77°F
$0 Vol.
37%
78〜79°F
$0 Vol.
36%
80〜81°F
$0 Vol.
11%
82〜83°F
$0 Vol.
7%
84〜85°F
$0 Vol.
5%
86°F以上
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see nearly even odds between a minimum of 67°F or below and 86°F or higher in Austin on September 18 because National Weather Service and private forecast models diverge sharply on overnight temperatures. A possible weak cold front could advect drier, cooler air southward, allowing radiational cooling under clear skies to drop readings into the mid-60s, while a stalled or absent front would leave the region under continued warm, humid southerly flow with minima remaining in the mid-80s. Ensemble guidance shows spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds, both of which strongly influence minimum temperature via the surface energy budget. Updated model runs tonight and early Wednesday morning will likely narrow the range ahead of the daily low observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 16, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
音量
$21終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see nearly even odds between a minimum of 67°F or below and 86°F or higher in Austin on September 18 because National Weather Service and private forecast models diverge sharply on overnight temperatures. A possible weak cold front could advect drier, cooler air southward, allowing radiational cooling under clear skies to drop readings into the mid-60s, while a stalled or absent front would leave the region under continued warm, humid southerly flow with minima remaining in the mid-80s. Ensemble guidance shows spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds, both of which strongly influence minimum temperature via the surface energy budget. Updated model runs tonight and early Wednesday morning will likely narrow the range ahead of the daily low observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$21終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 3:29 AM ETTraders see nearly even odds between a minimum of 67°F or below and 86°F or higher in Austin on September 18 because National Weather Service and private forecast models diverge sharply on overnight temperatures. A possible weak cold front could advect drier, cooler air southward, allowing radiational cooling under clear skies to drop readings into the mid-60s, while a stalled or absent front would leave the region under continued warm, humid southerly flow with minima remaining in the mid-80s. Ensemble guidance shows spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds, both of which strongly influence minimum temperature via the surface energy budget. Updated model runs tonight and early Wednesday morning will likely narrow the range ahead of the daily low observation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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