Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town will reach a minimum of 10–11 °C overnight into September 18 under clear skies and a stable high-pressure ridge, with southeasterly winds of 15–25 km/h limiting radiative cooling. This setup aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds for 10 °C and 11 °C, while the 46 % probability attached to 6 °C or below reflects residual uncertainty in exact minimum timing and micro-site variations. Spring climatology shows typical September lows near 10 °C, and the absence of incoming cold fronts or increased cloud cover keeps temperatures from dropping further. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening will refine the final recorded low.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月18日のケープタウンの最低気温は？
9月18日のケープタウンの最低気温は？
10°C 100%
6℃以下 93%
9℃ 91%
7℃ 17%
新規
新規
2026/09/18
6℃以下
93%
7℃
17%
8°C
17%
9℃
91%
10°C
100%
11℃
-
12°C
<1%
13℃
<1%
14℃
<1%
15℃
<1%
16℃以上
<1%
10°C 100%
6℃以下 93%
9℃ 91%
7℃ 17%
新規
新規
2026/09/18
6℃以下
$0 Vol.
93%
7℃
$0 Vol.
17%
8°C
$0 Vol.
17%
9℃
$25 Vol.
91%
10°C
$25 Vol.
100%
11℃
$161 Vol.
-
12°C
$259 Vol.
<1%
13℃
$57 Vol.
<1%
14℃
$41 Vol.
<1%
15℃
$41 Vol.
<1%
16℃以上
$41 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town will reach a minimum of 10–11 °C overnight into September 18 under clear skies and a stable high-pressure ridge, with southeasterly winds of 15–25 km/h limiting radiative cooling. This setup aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds for 10 °C and 11 °C, while the 46 % probability attached to 6 °C or below reflects residual uncertainty in exact minimum timing and micro-site variations. Spring climatology shows typical September lows near 10 °C, and the absence of incoming cold fronts or increased cloud cover keeps temperatures from dropping further. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening will refine the final recorded low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$651終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town will reach a minimum of 10–11 °C overnight into September 18 under clear skies and a stable high-pressure ridge, with southeasterly winds of 15–25 km/h limiting radiative cooling. This setup aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds for 10 °C and 11 °C, while the 46 % probability attached to 6 °C or below reflects residual uncertainty in exact minimum timing and micro-site variations. Spring climatology shows typical September lows near 10 °C, and the absence of incoming cold fronts or increased cloud cover keeps temperatures from dropping further. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening will refine the final recorded low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$651終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETCurrent forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town will reach a minimum of 10–11 °C overnight into September 18 under clear skies and a stable high-pressure ridge, with southeasterly winds of 15–25 km/h limiting radiative cooling. This setup aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds for 10 °C and 11 °C, while the 46 % probability attached to 6 °C or below reflects residual uncertainty in exact minimum timing and micro-site variations. Spring climatology shows typical September lows near 10 °C, and the absence of incoming cold fronts or increased cloud cover keeps temperatures from dropping further. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening will refine the final recorded low.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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