Recent forecasts indicate thunderstorm activity and elevated humidity across Guangzhou, which limit nocturnal radiative cooling and support minimum temperatures clustered in the mid-20s Celsius. High moisture content and cloud cover reduce outgoing longwave radiation, while urban heat retention and light winds further moderate overnight drops. Model consensus on storm timing and intensity introduces small uncertainties that differentiate the closely matched 23–27 °C outcomes, as earlier or more persistent cloud decks could push readings lower and clearer intervals allow slightly warmer lows. Official agency updates on convective development will refine these market-implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月21日の広州の最低気温は?
25°C 35%
26°C 34%
23°C 34%
24°C 34%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
34%
24°C
34%
25°C
35%
26°C
34%
27°C
34%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 35%
26°C 34%
23°C 34%
24°C 34%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
34%
24°C
34%
25°C
35%
26°C
34%
27°C
34%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts indicate thunderstorm activity and elevated humidity across Guangzhou, which limit nocturnal radiative cooling and support minimum temperatures clustered in the mid-20s Celsius. High moisture content and cloud cover reduce outgoing longwave radiation, while urban heat retention and light winds further moderate overnight drops. Model consensus on storm timing and intensity introduces small uncertainties that differentiate the closely matched 23–27 °C outcomes, as earlier or more persistent cloud decks could push readings lower and clearer intervals allow slightly warmer lows. Official agency updates on convective development will refine these market-implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問