Traders see closely matched probabilities for a 16–17°C low in Istanbul on September 17 because current model guidance and real-time observations cluster in that narrow range amid typical early-autumn conditions. Northeast winds, increasing cloud cover, and light or patchy precipitation limit overnight radiative cooling over the urban and coastal zones, while the moderating influence of the Sea of Marmara prevents deeper drops. Forecasts from multiple sources consistently project a nighttime minimum near 16–19°C, aligning with the September climatological average of roughly 17°C. The tight spread among the leading outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in exact minimum readings, which can shift with final model runs, local microclimate variations, or precise measurement timing at official stations. No major synoptic changes have altered the outlook in recent days.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月17日のイスタンブールの最低気温は？
9月17日のイスタンブールの最低気温は？
15°C以下 90%
18°C <1%
19℃ <1%
20°C <1%
新規
新規
2026/09/17
15°C以下
90%
16℃
-
17°C
54%
18°C
<1%
19℃
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25℃以上
<1%
15°C以下 90%
18°C <1%
19℃ <1%
20°C <1%
新規
新規
2026/09/17
15°C以下
$25 Vol.
90%
16℃
$28 Vol.
-
17°C
$63 Vol.
54%
18°C
$409 Vol.
<1%
19℃
$149 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$47 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
25℃以上
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see closely matched probabilities for a 16–17°C low in Istanbul on September 17 because current model guidance and real-time observations cluster in that narrow range amid typical early-autumn conditions. Northeast winds, increasing cloud cover, and light or patchy precipitation limit overnight radiative cooling over the urban and coastal zones, while the moderating influence of the Sea of Marmara prevents deeper drops. Forecasts from multiple sources consistently project a nighttime minimum near 16–19°C, aligning with the September climatological average of roughly 17°C. The tight spread among the leading outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in exact minimum readings, which can shift with final model runs, local microclimate variations, or precise measurement timing at official stations. No major synoptic changes have altered the outlook in recent days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$843終了日
2026/09/17マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see closely matched probabilities for a 16–17°C low in Istanbul on September 17 because current model guidance and real-time observations cluster in that narrow range amid typical early-autumn conditions. Northeast winds, increasing cloud cover, and light or patchy precipitation limit overnight radiative cooling over the urban and coastal zones, while the moderating influence of the Sea of Marmara prevents deeper drops. Forecasts from multiple sources consistently project a nighttime minimum near 16–19°C, aligning with the September climatological average of roughly 17°C. The tight spread among the leading outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in exact minimum readings, which can shift with final model runs, local microclimate variations, or precise measurement timing at official stations. No major synoptic changes have altered the outlook in recent days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$843終了日
2026/09/17マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Traders see closely matched probabilities for a 16–17°C low in Istanbul on September 17 because current model guidance and real-time observations cluster in that narrow range amid typical early-autumn conditions. Northeast winds, increasing cloud cover, and light or patchy precipitation limit overnight radiative cooling over the urban and coastal zones, while the moderating influence of the Sea of Marmara prevents deeper drops. Forecasts from multiple sources consistently project a nighttime minimum near 16–19°C, aligning with the September climatological average of roughly 17°C. The tight spread among the leading outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in exact minimum readings, which can shift with final model runs, local microclimate variations, or precise measurement timing at official stations. No major synoptic changes have altered the outlook in recent days.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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