Current Met Office and European model guidance indicate a minimum temperature of 11–12 °C overnight into 22 August, driven by clear skies under building high pressure, light northerly flow, and radiative cooling after a recent southward jet-stream shift that replaced earlier heat. This places the outcome near or slightly below the long-term August average low of roughly 15 °C while remaining above typical early-autumn values. Ensemble spreads show limited downside risk below 11 °C absent unexpected cloud cover or wind changes before dawn, supporting the market’s concentration of probability on 12 °C followed by 13 °C and 11 °C. Final readings will be confirmed by official London observations on the morning of 23 August.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月22日のロンドンの最低気温は?
12℃ 55%
13℃ 27%
11°C 16%
14°C 6%
9℃以下
1%
10℃
1%
11°C
16%
12℃
55%
13℃
27%
14°C
6%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17℃
<1%
18°C
<1%
19℃以上
<1%
12℃ 55%
13℃ 27%
11°C 16%
14°C 6%
9℃以下
1%
10℃
1%
11°C
16%
12℃
55%
13℃
27%
14°C
6%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17℃
<1%
18°C
<1%
19℃以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current Met Office and European model guidance indicate a minimum temperature of 11–12 °C overnight into 22 August, driven by clear skies under building high pressure, light northerly flow, and radiative cooling after a recent southward jet-stream shift that replaced earlier heat. This places the outcome near or slightly below the long-term August average low of roughly 15 °C while remaining above typical early-autumn values. Ensemble spreads show limited downside risk below 11 °C absent unexpected cloud cover or wind changes before dawn, supporting the market’s concentration of probability on 12 °C followed by 13 °C and 11 °C. Final readings will be confirmed by official London observations on the morning of 23 August.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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