Official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and aligned IMD guidance project a minimum temperature of 26°C in Lucknow on September 18, 2026, driven by persistent monsoon moisture, high humidity, and limited nocturnal radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with historical September averages of 24–26°C for overnight lows and recent model runs showing daytime highs near 34°C with isolated thundershowers unlikely to alter the minimum significantly. Trader consensus at 60% for 26°C reflects this model agreement, while lower-probability outcomes below 23°C would require unexpected clear-sky intensification or higher outcomes above 28°C an unseasonal heat surge—both low-likelihood shifts before resolution based on official station observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月18日のラクナウの最低気温は?
26℃ 61%
21°C以下 48%
31℃以上 48%
25℃ 40%
21°C以下
48%
22℃
15%
23℃
39%
24℃
39%
25℃
40%
26℃
60%
27°C
40%
28℃
40%
29°C
17%
30℃
13%
31℃以上
48%
26℃ 61%
21°C以下 48%
31℃以上 48%
25℃ 40%
21°C以下
48%
22℃
15%
23℃
39%
24℃
39%
25℃
40%
26℃
60%
27°C
40%
28℃
40%
29°C
17%
30℃
13%
31℃以上
48%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and aligned IMD guidance project a minimum temperature of 26°C in Lucknow on September 18, 2026, driven by persistent monsoon moisture, high humidity, and limited nocturnal radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with historical September averages of 24–26°C for overnight lows and recent model runs showing daytime highs near 34°C with isolated thundershowers unlikely to alter the minimum significantly. Trader consensus at 60% for 26°C reflects this model agreement, while lower-probability outcomes below 23°C would require unexpected clear-sky intensification or higher outcomes above 28°C an unseasonal heat surge—both low-likelihood shifts before resolution based on official station observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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