**Trader sentiment for Manila's lowest temperature on September 18 reflects model consensus around typical late-summer tropical conditions, with overnight lows expected near 25–27°C amid widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms.** High humidity near 90% and light variable winds limit radiative cooling, keeping minimums close to recent observations and climatological baselines for the period. Official guidance from agencies like PAGASA and global models shows consistent overnight readings in this range, though slight differences in storm timing or cloud thickness introduce uncertainty that supports closely matched probabilities across 25–27°C outcomes and the broader 20°C-or-below versus 30°C-or-higher tails. Updated model runs and local monitoring over the next 12–24 hours will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月18日のマニラの最低気温は？
9月18日のマニラの最低気温は？
20°C以下 89%
30℃以上 85%
27°C 40%
21℃ 38%
新規
新規
2026/09/18
20°C以下
89%
21℃
38%
22°C
38%
23°C
38%
24℃
38%
25℃
22%
26°C
35%
27°C
24%
28°C
38%
29°C
38%
30℃以上
85%
20°C以下 89%
30℃以上 85%
27°C 40%
21℃ 38%
新規
新規
2026/09/18
20°C以下
$0 Vol.
89%
21℃
$0 Vol.
38%
22°C
$0 Vol.
38%
23°C
$0 Vol.
38%
24℃
$0 Vol.
38%
25℃
$0 Vol.
22%
26°C
$36 Vol.
35%
27°C
$32 Vol.
24%
28°C
$0 Vol.
38%
29°C
$0 Vol.
38%
30℃以上
$0 Vol.
85%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Manila's lowest temperature on September 18 reflects model consensus around typical late-summer tropical conditions, with overnight lows expected near 25–27°C amid widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms.** High humidity near 90% and light variable winds limit radiative cooling, keeping minimums close to recent observations and climatological baselines for the period. Official guidance from agencies like PAGASA and global models shows consistent overnight readings in this range, though slight differences in storm timing or cloud thickness introduce uncertainty that supports closely matched probabilities across 25–27°C outcomes and the broader 20°C-or-below versus 30°C-or-higher tails. Updated model runs and local monitoring over the next 12–24 hours will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 16, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
音量
$68終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 12:32 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Manila's lowest temperature on September 18 reflects model consensus around typical late-summer tropical conditions, with overnight lows expected near 25–27°C amid widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms.** High humidity near 90% and light variable winds limit radiative cooling, keeping minimums close to recent observations and climatological baselines for the period. Official guidance from agencies like PAGASA and global models shows consistent overnight readings in this range, though slight differences in storm timing or cloud thickness introduce uncertainty that supports closely matched probabilities across 25–27°C outcomes and the broader 20°C-or-below versus 30°C-or-higher tails. Updated model runs and local monitoring over the next 12–24 hours will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$68終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 12:32 AM ET**Trader sentiment for Manila's lowest temperature on September 18 reflects model consensus around typical late-summer tropical conditions, with overnight lows expected near 25–27°C amid widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms.** High humidity near 90% and light variable winds limit radiative cooling, keeping minimums close to recent observations and climatological baselines for the period. Official guidance from agencies like PAGASA and global models shows consistent overnight readings in this range, though slight differences in storm timing or cloud thickness introduce uncertainty that supports closely matched probabilities across 25–27°C outcomes and the broader 20°C-or-below versus 30°C-or-higher tails. Updated model runs and local monitoring over the next 12–24 hours will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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