Mexico City's high elevation of approximately 2,240 meters produces pronounced nocturnal cooling, with August minima typically ranging 11–14°C amid the rainy season's cloud cover and convective activity. Official forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate a likely overnight low near 12–14°C on August 21, driven by moderate humidity, light northeasterly winds, and scattered showers that limit radiative heat loss without extreme suppression. Trader consensus favoring 15°C reflects these conditions plus recent model runs showing slightly above-average stability, while the cluster around 12–14°C accounts for measurement variability at official stations and potential for brief clear spells; lower probabilities for sub-11°C outcomes align with the absence of strong high-pressure systems or cold-air advection in current analyses. Updated CONAGUA guidance and diurnal observations will refine resolution criteria near the daily minimum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月21日のメキシコシティの最低気温は?
13°C 33%
14°C 33%
12°C 33%
11°C 19%
$2,927 Vol.
$2,927 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
19%
12°C
33%
13°C
33%
14°C
33%
15°C
60%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
13°C 33%
14°C 33%
12°C 33%
11°C 19%
$2,927 Vol.
$2,927 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
19%
12°C
33%
13°C
33%
14°C
33%
15°C
60%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mexico City's high elevation of approximately 2,240 meters produces pronounced nocturnal cooling, with August minima typically ranging 11–14°C amid the rainy season's cloud cover and convective activity. Official forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate a likely overnight low near 12–14°C on August 21, driven by moderate humidity, light northeasterly winds, and scattered showers that limit radiative heat loss without extreme suppression. Trader consensus favoring 15°C reflects these conditions plus recent model runs showing slightly above-average stability, while the cluster around 12–14°C accounts for measurement variability at official stations and potential for brief clear spells; lower probabilities for sub-11°C outcomes align with the absence of strong high-pressure systems or cold-air advection in current analyses. Updated CONAGUA guidance and diurnal observations will refine resolution criteria near the daily minimum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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