Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles places Paris's overnight minimum on September 16 in the 12–14°C range, with the tightest probabilities clustered on 13°C and 14°C due to modest spread in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Northwest flow advecting cooler maritime air, combined with partial clearing after daytime highs near 22°C, will control radiative cooling rates overnight; denser low-level clouds would limit the drop toward 12°C, while clearer intervals favor the lower end. Historical September averages near 11.5°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and dew-point forecasts keep the distribution narrowly centered above that baseline, with next model updates expected to refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月16日のパリの最低気温は？
9月16日のパリの最低気温は？
13℃ 40%
14℃ 37%
12°C 36%
15℃ 35%
新規
新規
2026/09/16
11℃以下
30%
12°C
36%
13℃
40%
14℃
37%
15℃
35%
16℃
30%
17℃
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20℃
2%
21℃以上
2%
13℃ 40%
14℃ 37%
12°C 36%
15℃ 35%
新規
新規
2026/09/16
11℃以下
$0 Vol.
30%
12°C
$0 Vol.
36%
13℃
$252 Vol.
40%
14℃
$145 Vol.
37%
15℃
$0 Vol.
35%
16℃
$0 Vol.
30%
17℃
$0 Vol.
2%
18°C
$0 Vol.
2%
19°C
$0 Vol.
2%
20℃
$0 Vol.
2%
21℃以上
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles places Paris's overnight minimum on September 16 in the 12–14°C range, with the tightest probabilities clustered on 13°C and 14°C due to modest spread in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Northwest flow advecting cooler maritime air, combined with partial clearing after daytime highs near 22°C, will control radiative cooling rates overnight; denser low-level clouds would limit the drop toward 12°C, while clearer intervals favor the lower end. Historical September averages near 11.5°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and dew-point forecasts keep the distribution narrowly centered above that baseline, with next model updates expected to refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$398終了日
2026/09/16マーケット開始日
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles places Paris's overnight minimum on September 16 in the 12–14°C range, with the tightest probabilities clustered on 13°C and 14°C due to modest spread in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Northwest flow advecting cooler maritime air, combined with partial clearing after daytime highs near 22°C, will control radiative cooling rates overnight; denser low-level clouds would limit the drop toward 12°C, while clearer intervals favor the lower end. Historical September averages near 11.5°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and dew-point forecasts keep the distribution narrowly centered above that baseline, with next model updates expected to refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$398終了日
2026/09/16マーケット開始日
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles places Paris's overnight minimum on September 16 in the 12–14°C range, with the tightest probabilities clustered on 13°C and 14°C due to modest spread in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Northwest flow advecting cooler maritime air, combined with partial clearing after daytime highs near 22°C, will control radiative cooling rates overnight; denser low-level clouds would limit the drop toward 12°C, while clearer intervals favor the lower end. Historical September averages near 11.5°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and dew-point forecasts keep the distribution narrowly centered above that baseline, with next model updates expected to refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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