Latest numerical weather model guidance, including GFS outputs, centers the overnight minimum in Paris on September 2 near 13–14°C under high pressure with partly cloudy skies and light winds favoring modest radiative cooling. This aligns with the market’s tight distribution, where 13°C holds a 36% implied probability and 14°C follows at 30%, reflecting small but meaningful differences in forecast dew points, cloud timing, and urban heat retention. The climatological average low of 13.1°C provides context, while ensemble spread and potential for slightly clearer or windier conditions sustain uncertainty between 12°C and 15°C outcomes. Final model updates ahead of the overnight period will refine the exact minimum recorded at official stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月2日のパリの最低気温は？
9月2日のパリの最低気温は？
13°C 37%
14℃ 30%
15°C 18%
16°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/09/02
10°C以下
10%
11°C
9%
12°C
9%
13°C
37%
14℃
30%
15°C
18%
16°C
13%
17℃
7%
18°C
2%
19℃
1%
20℃以上
1%
13°C 37%
14℃ 30%
15°C 18%
16°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/09/02
10°C以下
$0 Vol.
10%
11°C
$0 Vol.
9%
12°C
$20 Vol.
9%
13°C
$118 Vol.
37%
14℃
$218 Vol.
30%
15°C
$3 Vol.
18%
16°C
$20 Vol.
13%
17℃
$0 Vol.
7%
18°C
$45 Vol.
2%
19℃
$45 Vol.
1%
20℃以上
$66 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather model guidance, including GFS outputs, centers the overnight minimum in Paris on September 2 near 13–14°C under high pressure with partly cloudy skies and light winds favoring modest radiative cooling. This aligns with the market’s tight distribution, where 13°C holds a 36% implied probability and 14°C follows at 30%, reflecting small but meaningful differences in forecast dew points, cloud timing, and urban heat retention. The climatological average low of 13.1°C provides context, while ensemble spread and potential for slightly clearer or windier conditions sustain uncertainty between 12°C and 15°C outcomes. Final model updates ahead of the overnight period will refine the exact minimum recorded at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$536終了日
2026/09/02マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather model guidance, including GFS outputs, centers the overnight minimum in Paris on September 2 near 13–14°C under high pressure with partly cloudy skies and light winds favoring modest radiative cooling. This aligns with the market’s tight distribution, where 13°C holds a 36% implied probability and 14°C follows at 30%, reflecting small but meaningful differences in forecast dew points, cloud timing, and urban heat retention. The climatological average low of 13.1°C provides context, while ensemble spread and potential for slightly clearer or windier conditions sustain uncertainty between 12°C and 15°C outcomes. Final model updates ahead of the overnight period will refine the exact minimum recorded at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$536終了日
2026/09/02マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETLatest numerical weather model guidance, including GFS outputs, centers the overnight minimum in Paris on September 2 near 13–14°C under high pressure with partly cloudy skies and light winds favoring modest radiative cooling. This aligns with the market’s tight distribution, where 13°C holds a 36% implied probability and 14°C follows at 30%, reflecting small but meaningful differences in forecast dew points, cloud timing, and urban heat retention. The climatological average low of 13.1°C provides context, while ensemble spread and potential for slightly clearer or windier conditions sustain uncertainty between 12°C and 15°C outcomes. Final model updates ahead of the overnight period will refine the exact minimum recorded at official stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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