Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and Météo-France indicates a mild overnight minimum near 17°C for Paris on September 3, driven by high pressure near 1023 hPa, light southwesterly winds, and partial cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. This setup favors a stable maritime air mass rather than clear-sky drops toward the 13°C climatological average. Trader positioning clusters tightly around 16–17°C outcomes because early observations show temperatures holding in the upper teens overnight, with only modest further decline possible before sunrise. Updated model runs and official minimum readings from Paris stations will refine resolution as the day progresses.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月3日のパリの最低気温は?
15°C 40%
16°C 39%
17℃ 18%
14℃ 5%
11°C以下
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14℃
5%
15°C
32%
16°C
39%
17℃
18%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C以上
<1%
15°C 40%
16°C 39%
17℃ 18%
14℃ 5%
11°C以下
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14℃
5%
15°C
32%
16°C
39%
17℃
18%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and Météo-France indicates a mild overnight minimum near 17°C for Paris on September 3, driven by high pressure near 1023 hPa, light southwesterly winds, and partial cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. This setup favors a stable maritime air mass rather than clear-sky drops toward the 13°C climatological average. Trader positioning clusters tightly around 16–17°C outcomes because early observations show temperatures holding in the upper teens overnight, with only modest further decline possible before sunrise. Updated model runs and official minimum readings from Paris stations will refine resolution as the day progresses.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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