Recent forecast guidance from European and global models indicates a mild southwesterly flow over northern France on September 3, 2026, supporting daytime maxima near 26–28 °C under partly cloudy skies with light winds. This pattern, driven by a broad trough and modest warm advection, places Paris several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 23.3 °C while remaining well below heatwave thresholds. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with limited divergence among runs, which aligns with market-implied probabilities concentrating on 26–28 °C outcomes. Updated model cycles and surface observations through September 2 will further constrain the precise peak value ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月3日のパリの最高気温は?
27°C 39%
26°C 28%
28°C 18%
25°C or below 13%
25°C or below
13%
26°C
28%
27°C
39%
28°C
18%
29°C
6%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
27°C 39%
26°C 28%
28°C 18%
25°C or below 13%
25°C or below
13%
26°C
28%
27°C
39%
28°C
18%
29°C
6%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 1, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast guidance from European and global models indicates a mild southwesterly flow over northern France on September 3, 2026, supporting daytime maxima near 26–28 °C under partly cloudy skies with light winds. This pattern, driven by a broad trough and modest warm advection, places Paris several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 23.3 °C while remaining well below heatwave thresholds. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with limited divergence among runs, which aligns with market-implied probabilities concentrating on 26–28 °C outcomes. Updated model cycles and surface observations through September 2 will further constrain the precise peak value ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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