**Current forecasts for Qingdao's overnight low on September 21 show a spread centered near 19–21°C, with some models indicating potential for 16–18°C under clearer skies and lighter winds.** Coastal location amplifies sensitivity to northerly flow, which can advect cooler continental air, while variable cloud cover modulates radiative cooling rates after sunset. Official guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international models diverges on exact minimum thresholds due to differences in boundary-layer mixing and sea-surface temperature influences. Trader-implied odds clustered around 15–20°C reflect this genuine forecast uncertainty, with resolution hinging on real-time station observations of the daily minimum rather than model projections. Updated nowcasts and post-sunset data releases will likely narrow the range as the night progresses.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月21日の青島の最低気温は？
9月21日の青島の最低気温は？
15℃以下 100%
16℃ 97%
20℃ 97%
17°C 50%
新規
新規
2026/09/21
15℃以下
100%
16℃
97%
17°C
50%
18℃
12%
19°C
47%
20℃
97%
21℃
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24℃
<1%
25℃以上
<1%
15℃以下 100%
16℃ 97%
20℃ 97%
17°C 50%
新規
新規
2026/09/21
15℃以下
$0 Vol.
100%
16℃
$0 Vol.
97%
17°C
$0 Vol.
50%
18℃
$17 Vol.
12%
19°C
$75 Vol.
47%
20℃
$0 Vol.
97%
21℃
$37 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
24℃
$31 Vol.
<1%
25℃以上
$36 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for Qingdao's overnight low on September 21 show a spread centered near 19–21°C, with some models indicating potential for 16–18°C under clearer skies and lighter winds.** Coastal location amplifies sensitivity to northerly flow, which can advect cooler continental air, while variable cloud cover modulates radiative cooling rates after sunset. Official guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international models diverges on exact minimum thresholds due to differences in boundary-layer mixing and sea-surface temperature influences. Trader-implied odds clustered around 15–20°C reflect this genuine forecast uncertainty, with resolution hinging on real-time station observations of the daily minimum rather than model projections. Updated nowcasts and post-sunset data releases will likely narrow the range as the night progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
音量
$264終了日
2026/09/21マーケット開始日
Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for Qingdao's overnight low on September 21 show a spread centered near 19–21°C, with some models indicating potential for 16–18°C under clearer skies and lighter winds.** Coastal location amplifies sensitivity to northerly flow, which can advect cooler continental air, while variable cloud cover modulates radiative cooling rates after sunset. Official guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international models diverges on exact minimum thresholds due to differences in boundary-layer mixing and sea-surface temperature influences. Trader-implied odds clustered around 15–20°C reflect this genuine forecast uncertainty, with resolution hinging on real-time station observations of the daily minimum rather than model projections. Updated nowcasts and post-sunset data releases will likely narrow the range as the night progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$264終了日
2026/09/21マーケット開始日
Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ET**Current forecasts for Qingdao's overnight low on September 21 show a spread centered near 19–21°C, with some models indicating potential for 16–18°C under clearer skies and lighter winds.** Coastal location amplifies sensitivity to northerly flow, which can advect cooler continental air, while variable cloud cover modulates radiative cooling rates after sunset. Official guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international models diverges on exact minimum thresholds due to differences in boundary-layer mixing and sea-surface temperature influences. Trader-implied odds clustered around 15–20°C reflect this genuine forecast uncertainty, with resolution hinging on real-time station observations of the daily minimum rather than model projections. Updated nowcasts and post-sunset data releases will likely narrow the range as the night progresses.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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