Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office, PredictWind, and global ensembles indicate a daily minimum temperature in Incheon/Seoul on September 16 likely between 17–19°C under clear to partly cloudy conditions with light winds and minimal precipitation risk. This range aligns with climatological September norms for the region, where overnight radiative cooling is moderated by residual warmth from daytime highs near 27–28°C. Market-implied odds favor 21°C or higher as the leading outcome amid model spread and short-term uncertainty in steering patterns, while probabilities cluster around 16–17°C bins reflecting the consensus central tendency. Updated high-resolution runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the minimum threshold and potentially shift trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月16日のソウル(仁川)の最低気温は?
21℃以上 71%
12℃ 34%
13℃ 34%
14℃ 34%
11℃以下
2%
12℃
34%
13℃
34%
14℃
34%
15℃
20%
16℃
30%
17°C
26%
18℃
30%
19℃
21%
20°C
20%
21℃以上
71%
21℃以上 71%
12℃ 34%
13℃ 34%
14℃ 34%
11℃以下
2%
12℃
34%
13℃
34%
14℃
34%
15℃
20%
16℃
30%
17°C
26%
18℃
30%
19℃
21%
20°C
20%
21℃以上
71%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office, PredictWind, and global ensembles indicate a daily minimum temperature in Incheon/Seoul on September 16 likely between 17–19°C under clear to partly cloudy conditions with light winds and minimal precipitation risk. This range aligns with climatological September norms for the region, where overnight radiative cooling is moderated by residual warmth from daytime highs near 27–28°C. Market-implied odds favor 21°C or higher as the leading outcome amid model spread and short-term uncertainty in steering patterns, while probabilities cluster around 16–17°C bins reflecting the consensus central tendency. Updated high-resolution runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the minimum threshold and potentially shift trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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