Recent forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate overnight lows in Tel Aviv on September 18 will likely settle near 25°C, driven by typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with moderate westerly winds, high humidity, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Scattered showers expected during the day may slightly suppress daytime highs to around 29°C but are unlikely to produce significant nighttime drops below 24°C or push minima above 27°C. Trader consensus favoring 25°C reflects this model agreement and historical September baselines, while lower-probability outcomes for 20°C or below remain constrained by the absence of any incoming cold advection or clear-sky radiative cooling. Updated model runs overnight could refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月18日のテルアビブの最低気温は？
9月18日のテルアビブの最低気温は？
20°C以下 97%
30℃以上 54%
25°C 46%
26°C 40%
新規
新規
2026/09/18
20°C以下
97%
21°C
8%
22℃
38%
23℃
37%
24°C
21%
25°C
46%
26°C
40%
27℃
17%
28°C
14%
29°C
13%
30℃以上
54%
20°C以下 97%
30℃以上 54%
25°C 46%
26°C 40%
新規
新規
2026/09/18
20°C以下
$0 Vol.
97%
21°C
$0 Vol.
8%
22℃
$0 Vol.
38%
23℃
$0 Vol.
37%
24°C
$0 Vol.
21%
25°C
$10 Vol.
46%
26°C
$0 Vol.
40%
27℃
$0 Vol.
17%
28°C
$0 Vol.
14%
29°C
$0 Vol.
13%
30℃以上
$0 Vol.
54%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate overnight lows in Tel Aviv on September 18 will likely settle near 25°C, driven by typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with moderate westerly winds, high humidity, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Scattered showers expected during the day may slightly suppress daytime highs to around 29°C but are unlikely to produce significant nighttime drops below 24°C or push minima above 27°C. Trader consensus favoring 25°C reflects this model agreement and historical September baselines, while lower-probability outcomes for 20°C or below remain constrained by the absence of any incoming cold advection or clear-sky radiative cooling. Updated model runs overnight could refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$10終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate overnight lows in Tel Aviv on September 18 will likely settle near 25°C, driven by typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with moderate westerly winds, high humidity, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Scattered showers expected during the day may slightly suppress daytime highs to around 29°C but are unlikely to produce significant nighttime drops below 24°C or push minima above 27°C. Trader consensus favoring 25°C reflects this model agreement and historical September baselines, while lower-probability outcomes for 20°C or below remain constrained by the absence of any incoming cold advection or clear-sky radiative cooling. Updated model runs overnight could refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$10終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate overnight lows in Tel Aviv on September 18 will likely settle near 25°C, driven by typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with moderate westerly winds, high humidity, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Scattered showers expected during the day may slightly suppress daytime highs to around 29°C but are unlikely to produce significant nighttime drops below 24°C or push minima above 27°C. Trader consensus favoring 25°C reflects this model agreement and historical September baselines, while lower-probability outcomes for 20°C or below remain constrained by the absence of any incoming cold advection or clear-sky radiative cooling. Updated model runs overnight could refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問