Japan Meteorological Agency observations at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station—the official resolution source—have recorded a morning low of exactly 13°C on April 26, with daytime temperatures climbing to a confirmed high of 20°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds typical of spring's diurnal cycle. This positions trader consensus at a near-certain implied probability for 13°C, reflecting real-time surface data that locks the daily minimum as solar heating and urban heat island effects prevent further drops in the Kanto region's stable atmospheric conditions. Historical April lows at Haneda average 11–13°C, aligning with current readings from short-range forecast models. Only an extraordinary late-evening cold front—unlikely given forecast consensus and no supporting upper-air data—could challenge this, with final daily summaries expected by JMA tomorrow.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Lowest temperature in Tokyo on April 26?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on April 26?
13°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$32,264 Vol.
$32,264 Vol.
2026/04/26
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$32,264 Vol.
$32,264 Vol.
2026/04/26
8°C or below
$1,479 Vol.
No
9°C
$1,792 Vol.
No
10°C
$1,781 Vol.
No
11°C
$3,647 Vol.
No
12°C
$3,803 Vol.
No
13°C
$6,764 Vol.
Yes
14°C
$5,416 Vol.
No
15°C
$1,021 Vol.
No
16°C
$956 Vol.
No
17°C
$2,211 Vol.
No
18°C or higher
$3,393 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency observations at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station—the official resolution source—have recorded a morning low of exactly 13°C on April 26, with daytime temperatures climbing to a confirmed high of 20°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds typical of spring's diurnal cycle. This positions trader consensus at a near-certain implied probability for 13°C, reflecting real-time surface data that locks the daily minimum as solar heating and urban heat island effects prevent further drops in the Kanto region's stable atmospheric conditions. Historical April lows at Haneda average 11–13°C, aligning with current readings from short-range forecast models. Only an extraordinary late-evening cold front—unlikely given forecast consensus and no supporting upper-air data—could challenge this, with final daily summaries expected by JMA tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
音量
$32,264終了日
2026/04/26マーケット開始日
Apr 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency observations at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station—the official resolution source—have recorded a morning low of exactly 13°C on April 26, with daytime temperatures climbing to a confirmed high of 20°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds typical of spring's diurnal cycle. This positions trader consensus at a near-certain implied probability for 13°C, reflecting real-time surface data that locks the daily minimum as solar heating and urban heat island effects prevent further drops in the Kanto region's stable atmospheric conditions. Historical April lows at Haneda average 11–13°C, aligning with current readings from short-range forecast models. Only an extraordinary late-evening cold front—unlikely given forecast consensus and no supporting upper-air data—could challenge this, with final daily summaries expected by JMA tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$32,264終了日
2026/04/26マーケット開始日
Apr 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Japan Meteorological Agency observations at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station—the official resolution source—have recorded a morning low of exactly 13°C on April 26, with daytime temperatures climbing to a confirmed high of 20°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds typical of spring's diurnal cycle. This positions trader consensus at a near-certain implied probability for 13°C, reflecting real-time surface data that locks the daily minimum as solar heating and urban heat island effects prevent further drops in the Kanto region's stable atmospheric conditions. Historical April lows at Haneda average 11–13°C, aligning with current readings from short-range forecast models. Only an extraordinary late-evening cold front—unlikely given forecast consensus and no supporting upper-air data—could challenge this, with final daily summaries expected by JMA tomorrow.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問