Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a low near 13°C for Toronto on September 16 under clearing skies, supporting radiational cooling after daytime highs around 26°C. Model runs diverge on overnight minimums, with some ensembles holding temperatures near 16–18°C due to lingering cloud cover or light northerly flow, while others allow greater surface heat loss. Historical September 16 averages sit around 13.7°C, providing context for the spread. Market-implied odds cluster around 16–17°C as the consensus view of traders weighing these variables, with notable probability assigned to cooler outcomes if winds remain light and skies clear fully overnight. Updated model guidance and official observations will refine resolution ahead of the daily minimum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月16日のトロントの最低気温は？
9月16日のトロントの最低気温は？
11°C以下 68%
21℃以上 68%
17°C 40%
12℃ 39%
新規
新規
2026/09/16
11°C以下
68%
12℃
39%
13℃
39%
14℃
39%
15°C
39%
16℃
30%
17°C
24%
18℃
22%
19℃
21%
20°C
39%
21℃以上
68%
11°C以下 68%
21℃以上 68%
17°C 40%
12℃ 39%
新規
新規
2026/09/16
11°C以下
$0 Vol.
68%
12℃
$0 Vol.
39%
13℃
$0 Vol.
39%
14℃
$0 Vol.
39%
15°C
$0 Vol.
39%
16℃
$0 Vol.
30%
17°C
$3 Vol.
24%
18℃
$0 Vol.
22%
19℃
$0 Vol.
21%
20°C
$0 Vol.
39%
21℃以上
$0 Vol.
68%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a low near 13°C for Toronto on September 16 under clearing skies, supporting radiational cooling after daytime highs around 26°C. Model runs diverge on overnight minimums, with some ensembles holding temperatures near 16–18°C due to lingering cloud cover or light northerly flow, while others allow greater surface heat loss. Historical September 16 averages sit around 13.7°C, providing context for the spread. Market-implied odds cluster around 16–17°C as the consensus view of traders weighing these variables, with notable probability assigned to cooler outcomes if winds remain light and skies clear fully overnight. Updated model guidance and official observations will refine resolution ahead of the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 14, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
音量
$3終了日
2026/09/16マーケット開始日
Sep 14, 2026, 8:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a low near 13°C for Toronto on September 16 under clearing skies, supporting radiational cooling after daytime highs around 26°C. Model runs diverge on overnight minimums, with some ensembles holding temperatures near 16–18°C due to lingering cloud cover or light northerly flow, while others allow greater surface heat loss. Historical September 16 averages sit around 13.7°C, providing context for the spread. Market-implied odds cluster around 16–17°C as the consensus view of traders weighing these variables, with notable probability assigned to cooler outcomes if winds remain light and skies clear fully overnight. Updated model guidance and official observations will refine resolution ahead of the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$3終了日
2026/09/16マーケット開始日
Sep 14, 2026, 8:29 AM ETOfficial forecasts from Environment Canada project a low near 13°C for Toronto on September 16 under clearing skies, supporting radiational cooling after daytime highs around 26°C. Model runs diverge on overnight minimums, with some ensembles holding temperatures near 16–18°C due to lingering cloud cover or light northerly flow, while others allow greater surface heat loss. Historical September 16 averages sit around 13.7°C, providing context for the spread. Market-implied odds cluster around 16–17°C as the consensus view of traders weighing these variables, with notable probability assigned to cooler outcomes if winds remain light and skies clear fully overnight. Updated model guidance and official observations will refine resolution ahead of the daily minimum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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