Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Warsaw will experience a transitional early-autumn pattern on September 1, with overnight lows likely ranging 13–16°C amid partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and modest radiative cooling. Model spread creates the near-even split between sub-12°C outcomes and warmer scenarios, as variations in cloud cover, timing of any weak frontal passage, and boundary-layer moisture can shift the minimum by several degrees. Historical September minima average near 10–12°C, but current guidance shows above-baseline warmth persisting from late August, reducing the probability of sharp nocturnal drops while leaving room for localized cooling under clearer conditions. Updated model runs and official Institute of Meteorology and Water Management briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月1日のワルシャワの最低気温は？
9月1日のワルシャワの最低気温は？
22°C or higher 92%
12°C or below 91%
17°C 48%
14°C 39%
新規
新規
2026/09/01
12°C or below
91%
13°C
24%
14°C
39%
15°C
28%
16°C
26%
17°C
48%
18°C
2%
19°C
8%
20°C
8%
21°C
8%
22°C or higher
92%
22°C or higher 92%
12°C or below 91%
17°C 48%
14°C 39%
新規
新規
2026/09/01
12°C or below
$0 Vol.
91%
13°C
$0 Vol.
24%
14°C
$0 Vol.
39%
15°C
$0 Vol.
28%
16°C
$0 Vol.
26%
17°C
$0 Vol.
48%
18°C
$0 Vol.
2%
19°C
$0 Vol.
8%
20°C
$0 Vol.
8%
21°C
$0 Vol.
8%
22°C or higher
$0 Vol.
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Warsaw will experience a transitional early-autumn pattern on September 1, with overnight lows likely ranging 13–16°C amid partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and modest radiative cooling. Model spread creates the near-even split between sub-12°C outcomes and warmer scenarios, as variations in cloud cover, timing of any weak frontal passage, and boundary-layer moisture can shift the minimum by several degrees. Historical September minima average near 10–12°C, but current guidance shows above-baseline warmth persisting from late August, reducing the probability of sharp nocturnal drops while leaving room for localized cooling under clearer conditions. Updated model runs and official Institute of Meteorology and Water Management briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/01マーケット開始日
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Warsaw will experience a transitional early-autumn pattern on September 1, with overnight lows likely ranging 13–16°C amid partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and modest radiative cooling. Model spread creates the near-even split between sub-12°C outcomes and warmer scenarios, as variations in cloud cover, timing of any weak frontal passage, and boundary-layer moisture can shift the minimum by several degrees. Historical September minima average near 10–12°C, but current guidance shows above-baseline warmth persisting from late August, reducing the probability of sharp nocturnal drops while leaving room for localized cooling under clearer conditions. Updated model runs and official Institute of Meteorology and Water Management briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/01マーケット開始日
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Warsaw will experience a transitional early-autumn pattern on September 1, with overnight lows likely ranging 13–16°C amid partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and modest radiative cooling. Model spread creates the near-even split between sub-12°C outcomes and warmer scenarios, as variations in cloud cover, timing of any weak frontal passage, and boundary-layer moisture can shift the minimum by several degrees. Historical September minima average near 10–12°C, but current guidance shows above-baseline warmth persisting from late August, reducing the probability of sharp nocturnal drops while leaving room for localized cooling under clearer conditions. Updated model runs and official Institute of Meteorology and Water Management briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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