Current forecasts from agencies including China's National Meteorological Center project a minimum temperature of 22–23°C in Wuhan on September 19 under mostly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, following a period of rain that has kept recent overnight lows in the low 20s. This aligns with September climatology, where average lows hover near 21°C but can vary several degrees based on cloud cover modulating radiative cooling and subtle shifts in steering patterns. The closely matched market-implied odds around 22–23°C versus cooler or warmer bins reflect model consensus on the central tendency while acknowledging uncertainty in the precise hourly minimum, which depends on the timing of any clearing and local humidity levels near 70–80%. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月19日の武漢の最低気温は？
9月19日の武漢の最低気温は？
17℃以下 76%
27°C以上 74%
18℃ 39%
23℃ 39%
新規
新規
2026/09/19
17℃以下
76%
18℃
39%
19℃
28%
20℃
27%
21°C
21%
22℃
21%
23℃
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26℃
39%
27°C以上
74%
17℃以下 76%
27°C以上 74%
18℃ 39%
23℃ 39%
新規
新規
2026/09/19
17℃以下
$0 Vol.
76%
18℃
$0 Vol.
39%
19℃
$0 Vol.
28%
20℃
$0 Vol.
27%
21°C
$0 Vol.
21%
22℃
$0 Vol.
21%
23℃
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
39%
25°C
$0 Vol.
39%
26℃
$0 Vol.
39%
27°C以上
$0 Vol.
74%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including China's National Meteorological Center project a minimum temperature of 22–23°C in Wuhan on September 19 under mostly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, following a period of rain that has kept recent overnight lows in the low 20s. This aligns with September climatology, where average lows hover near 21°C but can vary several degrees based on cloud cover modulating radiative cooling and subtle shifts in steering patterns. The closely matched market-implied odds around 22–23°C versus cooler or warmer bins reflect model consensus on the central tendency while acknowledging uncertainty in the precise hourly minimum, which depends on the timing of any clearing and local humidity levels near 70–80%. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/19マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including China's National Meteorological Center project a minimum temperature of 22–23°C in Wuhan on September 19 under mostly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, following a period of rain that has kept recent overnight lows in the low 20s. This aligns with September climatology, where average lows hover near 21°C but can vary several degrees based on cloud cover modulating radiative cooling and subtle shifts in steering patterns. The closely matched market-implied odds around 22–23°C versus cooler or warmer bins reflect model consensus on the central tendency while acknowledging uncertainty in the precise hourly minimum, which depends on the timing of any clearing and local humidity levels near 70–80%. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/19マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecasts from agencies including China's National Meteorological Center project a minimum temperature of 22–23°C in Wuhan on September 19 under mostly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, following a period of rain that has kept recent overnight lows in the low 20s. This aligns with September climatology, where average lows hover near 21°C but can vary several degrees based on cloud cover modulating radiative cooling and subtle shifts in steering patterns. The closely matched market-implied odds around 22–23°C versus cooler or warmer bins reflect model consensus on the central tendency while acknowledging uncertainty in the precise hourly minimum, which depends on the timing of any clearing and local humidity levels near 70–80%. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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