Polymarket traders price a 38% implied probability on May 2026 CPI month-over-month at 0.5%, with 0.6% next at 26.5%, reflecting persistent inflationary pressures after April's hotter-than-expected 0.6% headline rise and the Producer Price Index surging 1.4%—its largest monthly gain since 2022—driven by energy costs amid the Iran conflict. Boston Fed President Collins warned yesterday of potential rate hikes if inflation endures, tilting sentiment hawkish and eroding rate-cut odds. Cleveland Fed nowcasts align near 0.46% MoM, supporting trader consensus for moderation from April but above pre-data levels. Key watch: June 10 CPI release and intervening import/export prices.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日0.5% 32%
0.6% 27%
0.4% 15%
0.7% 13%
新規
新規
2026/06/10
≤0.1%
4%
0.2%
4%
0.3%
6%
0.4%
15%
0.5%
32%
0.6%
27%
0.7%
13%
0.8%
5%
≥0.9%
4%
0.5% 32%
0.6% 27%
0.4% 15%
0.7% 13%
新規
新規
2026/06/10
≤0.1%
$29 Vol.
4%
0.2%
$27 Vol.
4%
0.3%
$369 Vol.
6%
0.4%
$512 Vol.
15%
0.5%
$29 Vol.
32%
0.6%
$49 Vol.
27%
0.7%
$27 Vol.
13%
0.8%
$27 Vol.
5%
≥0.9%
$39 Vol.
4%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Polymarket traders price a 38% implied probability on May 2026 CPI month-over-month at 0.5%, with 0.6% next at 26.5%, reflecting persistent inflationary pressures after April's hotter-than-expected 0.6% headline rise and the Producer Price Index surging 1.4%—its largest monthly gain since 2022—driven by energy costs amid the Iran conflict. Boston Fed President Collins warned yesterday of potential rate hikes if inflation endures, tilting sentiment hawkish and eroding rate-cut odds. Cleveland Fed nowcasts align near 0.46% MoM, supporting trader consensus for moderation from April but above pre-data levels. Key watch: June 10 CPI release and intervening import/export prices.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
マーケット開始日： May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
音量
$1,107終了日
2026/06/10マーケット開始日
May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Polymarket traders price a 38% implied probability on May 2026 CPI month-over-month at 0.5%, with 0.6% next at 26.5%, reflecting persistent inflationary pressures after April's hotter-than-expected 0.6% headline rise and the Producer Price Index surging 1.4%—its largest monthly gain since 2022—driven by energy costs amid the Iran conflict. Boston Fed President Collins warned yesterday of potential rate hikes if inflation endures, tilting sentiment hawkish and eroding rate-cut odds. Cleveland Fed nowcasts align near 0.46% MoM, supporting trader consensus for moderation from April but above pre-data levels. Key watch: June 10 CPI release and intervening import/export prices.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
音量
$1,107終了日
2026/06/10マーケット開始日
May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price a 38% implied probability on May 2026 CPI month-over-month at 0.5%, with 0.6% next at 26.5%, reflecting persistent inflationary pressures after April's hotter-than-expected 0.6% headline rise and the Producer Price Index surging 1.4%—its largest monthly gain since 2022—driven by energy costs amid the Iran conflict. Boston Fed President Collins warned yesterday of potential rate hikes if inflation endures, tilting sentiment hawkish and eroding rate-cut odds. Cleveland Fed nowcasts align near 0.46% MoM, supporting trader consensus for moderation from April but above pre-data levels. Key watch: June 10 CPI release and intervening import/export prices.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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