Skip to main content
icon for ニューハンプシャー州知事共和党予備選

ニューハンプシャー州知事共和党予備選

icon for ニューハンプシャー州知事共和党予備選

ニューハンプシャー州知事共和党予備選

Polymarket

$12,078 Vol.

Polymarket

$12,078 Vol.

icon for ケリー・アヨット

ケリー・アヨット

$7,646 Vol.

96%

icon for コーリー・ルワンドウスキー

コーリー・ルワンドウスキー

$4,432 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Kelly Ayotte’s commanding 97% implied probability reflects her status as the popular Republican incumbent seeking a second two-year term, with recent polling showing solid approval and general-election leads. She filed for re-election in June 2026 and faces only minor declared primary opponents, after earlier speculation about a challenge from Corey Lewandowski in late 2025 failed to materialize into a viable campaign. Lewandowski’s potential bid, tied to disputes over congressional redistricting, generated limited momentum on thin trading volume. With the September 8 primary just weeks away, Ayotte’s fundraising edge, party infrastructure, and track record in a state favoring incumbents underpin the current trader consensus. A realistic shift would require an unexpected late surge by a lesser-known contender or a major unforeseen event affecting her standing before voters.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$12,078
終了日
2026/09/08
マーケット開始日
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Kelly Ayotte’s commanding 97% implied probability reflects her status as the popular Republican incumbent seeking a second two-year term, with recent polling showing solid approval and general-election leads. She filed for re-election in June 2026 and faces only minor declared primary opponents, after earlier speculation about a challenge from Corey Lewandowski in late 2025 failed to materialize into a viable campaign. Lewandowski’s potential bid, tied to disputes over congressional redistricting, generated limited momentum on thin trading volume. With the September 8 primary just weeks away, Ayotte’s fundraising edge, party infrastructure, and track record in a state favoring incumbents underpin the current trader consensus. A realistic shift would require an unexpected late surge by a lesser-known contender or a major unforeseen event affecting her standing before voters.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$12,078
終了日
2026/09/08
マーケット開始日
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ニューハンプシャー州知事共和党予備選」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ケリー・アヨット」で96%、次いで「コーリー・ルワンドウスキー」が3%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、96¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に96%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ニューハンプシャー州知事共和党予備選」は$12.1Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Dec 4, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ニューハンプシャー州知事共和党予備選」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ニューハンプシャー州知事共和党予備選」の現在のフロントランナーは「ケリー・アヨット」で96%であり、市場がこの結果に96%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「コーリー・ルワンドウスキー」で3%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ニューハンプシャー州知事共和党予備選」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。