Kelly Ayotte’s commanding 97% implied probability reflects her status as the popular Republican incumbent seeking a second two-year term, with recent polling showing solid approval and general-election leads. She filed for re-election in June 2026 and faces only minor declared primary opponents, after earlier speculation about a challenge from Corey Lewandowski in late 2025 failed to materialize into a viable campaign. Lewandowski’s potential bid, tied to disputes over congressional redistricting, generated limited momentum on thin trading volume. With the September 8 primary just weeks away, Ayotte’s fundraising edge, party infrastructure, and track record in a state favoring incumbents underpin the current trader consensus. A realistic shift would require an unexpected late surge by a lesser-known contender or a major unforeseen event affecting her standing before voters.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$12,078 Vol.
$12,078 Vol.

ケリー・アヨット
96%

コーリー・ルワンドウスキー
3%
$12,078 Vol.
$12,078 Vol.

ケリー・アヨット
96%

コーリー・ルワンドウスキー
3%
If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
マーケット開始日: Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kelly Ayotte’s commanding 97% implied probability reflects her status as the popular Republican incumbent seeking a second two-year term, with recent polling showing solid approval and general-election leads. She filed for re-election in June 2026 and faces only minor declared primary opponents, after earlier speculation about a challenge from Corey Lewandowski in late 2025 failed to materialize into a viable campaign. Lewandowski’s potential bid, tied to disputes over congressional redistricting, generated limited momentum on thin trading volume. With the September 8 primary just weeks away, Ayotte’s fundraising edge, party infrastructure, and track record in a state favoring incumbents underpin the current trader consensus. A realistic shift would require an unexpected late surge by a lesser-known contender or a major unforeseen event affecting her standing before voters.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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