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世界·グローバル選挙

次期スロベニア首相

Market icon
世界·グローバル選挙

次期スロベニア首相

ヤネス・ヤンシャ 75%

イェルネイ・ヴルトヴェツ 11.6%

アンジェ・ロガル 6.6%

ロベルト・ゴロブ 4.8%

Polymarket

$2,634,237 Vol.

ヤネス・ヤンシャ 75%

イェルネイ・ヴルトヴェツ 11.6%

アンジェ・ロガル 6.6%

ロベルト・ゴロブ 4.8%

Polymarket

$2,634,237 Vol.

ヤネス・ヤンシャは次のスロベニア首相になりますか？ icon

ヤネス・ヤンシャ

$668,577 Vol.

75%

イェルネイ・ヴルトヴェツはスロベニアの次期首相になるでしょうか？ icon

イェルネイ・ヴルトヴェツ

$71,442 Vol.

12%

アンジェ・ロガルはスロベニアの次期首相になるでしょうか？ icon

アンジェ・ロガル

$953,584 Vol.

7%

ロベルト・ゴロブはスロベニアの次期首相になりますか？ icon

ロベルト・ゴロブ

$618,410 Vol.

5%

マテイ・トニンは次のスロベニアの首相になりますか？ icon

マテイ・トニン

$11,463 Vol.

<1%

ゾラン・ステバノヴィッチは次のスロベニア首相になりますか？ icon

ゾラン・ステバノヴィッチ

$110,276 Vol.

<1%

ウラジミル・プレビリッチは次のスロベニアの首相になるでしょうか？ icon

ウラジミル・プレビリッチ

$176,869 Vol.

<1%

ルカ・メセツは次のスロベニア首相になりますか？ icon

ルカ・メセツ

$9,299 Vol.

<1%

マティアシュ・ハンはスロベニアの次期首相になるでしょうか？ icon

マティアシュ・ハン

$14,316 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following Slovenia's March 22 parliamentary election, which produced a hung National Assembly with Robert Golob's Freedom Movement securing 29 seats—just ahead of Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party at 28—coalition negotiations have faltered amid fragmented support. Golob's overtures for a broad coalition excluding SDS were rebuffed by key center-right parties like New Slovenia (led by Jernej Vrtovec), while a right-leaning bloc (SDS, NSi/SLS/FOKUS, Democrats under Anže Logar) holds 43 seats, nearing the 46-seat majority threshold. The April 10 constitutive session's election of Zoran Stevanović (Resni.ca) as National Assembly president, backed by 48 votes from SDS and NSi allies, signals deepening right-wing coordination and dims Golob's prospects, driving trader consensus toward Janša as the likely next prime minister with president Nataša Pirc Musar poised to award exploratory mandates soon.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$2,634,237
終了日
2026/03/22
マーケット開始日
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following Slovenia's March 22 parliamentary election, which produced a hung National Assembly with Robert Golob's Freedom Movement securing 29 seats—just ahead of Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party at 28—coalition negotiations have faltered amid fragmented support. Golob's overtures for a broad coalition excluding SDS were rebuffed by key center-right parties like New Slovenia (led by Jernej Vrtovec), while a right-leaning bloc (SDS, NSi/SLS/FOKUS, Democrats under Anže Logar) holds 43 seats, nearing the 46-seat majority threshold. The April 10 constitutive session's election of Zoran Stevanović (Resni.ca) as National Assembly president, backed by 48 votes from SDS and NSi allies, signals deepening right-wing coordination and dims Golob's prospects, driving trader consensus toward Janša as the likely next prime minister with president Nataša Pirc Musar poised to award exploratory mandates soon.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$2,634,237
終了日
2026/03/22
マーケット開始日
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「次期スロベニア首相」はPolymarket上の9個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ヤネス・ヤンシャ」で75%、次いで「イェルネイ・ヴルトヴェツ」が12%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、75¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に75%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「次期スロベニア首相」は$2.6 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Jan 19, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「次期スロベニア首相」で取引するには、このページに記載されている9個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「次期スロベニア首相」の現在のフロントランナーは「ヤネス・ヤンシャ」で75%であり、市場がこの結果に75%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「イェルネイ・ヴルトヴェツ」で12%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「次期スロベニア首相」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。