Trader consensus prices "Something" at 62% for April amid heightened US-Iran tensions, anchored by President Trump's April 1 national address declaring the conflict "nearing completion" while issuing ceasefire demands and mixed signals on strategic objectives—elevating risks of US forces entering Iran, the market's dominant trigger. Supporting factors include the Federal Reserve's anticipated late-April FOMC meeting where any policy change (rates, forward guidance) could resolve "Something," alongside slimmer possibilities of WTI crude oil surging above $200 per barrel from energy disruptions, US military action against Cuba, or arrests tied to new Epstein disclosures. With resolution on April 30, 2026, traders weigh geopolitical escalation against historical restraint in comparable conflicts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Nothing
新規
新規
2026/04/30
Nothing
新規
新規
2026/04/30
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US forces enter Iran
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200
- Fed decides any change in April
- US military action against Cuba
- Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_April.pdfTrader consensus prices "Something" at 62% for April amid heightened US-Iran tensions, anchored by President Trump's April 1 national address declaring the conflict "nearing completion" while issuing ceasefire demands and mixed signals on strategic objectives—elevating risks of US forces entering Iran, the market's dominant trigger. Supporting factors include the Federal Reserve's anticipated late-April FOMC meeting where any policy change (rates, forward guidance) could resolve "Something," alongside slimmer possibilities of WTI crude oil surging above $200 per barrel from energy disruptions, US military action against Cuba, or arrests tied to new Epstein disclosures. With resolution on April 30, 2026, traders weigh geopolitical escalation against historical restraint in comparable conflicts.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US forces enter Iran
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200
- Fed decides any change in April
- US military action against Cuba
- Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_April.pdf
- US forces enter Iran
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200
- Fed decides any change in April
- US military action against Cuba
- Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_April.pdf
マーケット開始日： Apr 1, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
音量
$7,608終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US forces enter Iran
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200
- Fed decides any change in April
- US military action against Cuba
- Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_April.pdfTrader consensus prices "Something" at 62% for April amid heightened US-Iran tensions, anchored by President Trump's April 1 national address declaring the conflict "nearing completion" while issuing ceasefire demands and mixed signals on strategic objectives—elevating risks of US forces entering Iran, the market's dominant trigger. Supporting factors include the Federal Reserve's anticipated late-April FOMC meeting where any policy change (rates, forward guidance) could resolve "Something," alongside slimmer possibilities of WTI crude oil surging above $200 per barrel from energy disruptions, US military action against Cuba, or arrests tied to new Epstein disclosures. With resolution on April 30, 2026, traders weigh geopolitical escalation against historical restraint in comparable conflicts.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US forces enter Iran
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200
- Fed decides any change in April
- US military action against Cuba
- Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_April.pdf
- US forces enter Iran
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200
- Fed decides any change in April
- US military action against Cuba
- Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_April.pdf
音量
$7,608終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "Something" at 62% for April amid heightened US-Iran tensions, anchored by President Trump's April 1 national address declaring the conflict "nearing completion" while issuing ceasefire demands and mixed signals on strategic objectives—elevating risks of US forces entering Iran, the market's dominant trigger. Supporting factors include the Federal Reserve's anticipated late-April FOMC meeting where any policy change (rates, forward guidance) could resolve "Something," alongside slimmer possibilities of WTI crude oil surging above $200 per barrel from energy disruptions, US military action against Cuba, or arrests tied to new Epstein disclosures. With resolution on April 30, 2026, traders weigh geopolitical escalation against historical restraint in comparable conflicts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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