The Piauí Senate race for the two seats remains tightly contested heading into October 2026, with recent Atlas and Opinar polls showing Marcelo Castro (MDB) holding a narrow lead, followed closely by Ciro Nogueira (PP) and Júlio César (PSD) within the margin of error for the second position. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, as a crowded field of 20 registered candidates fragments support and limits any single contender's consolidation. Key dynamics include Ciro Nogueira's ongoing outreach for federal government neutrality or backing amid traditional left-leaning voter patterns in the state, alongside party federation negotiations and regional alliances that could shift second-preference flows. Late campaign events, such as debate performances, targeted regional spending, or last-minute endorsements from Brasília, hold potential to reorder the middle of the pack before ballots close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日アントニオ・バロス 18%
ホルヘ・ロペス 18%
ダニエル・ロシャ 18%
ディオニジオ・カルヴァーリョ 18%

アントニオ・バロス
18%

ホルヘ・ロペス
18%

ダニエル・ロシャ
18%

ディオニジオ・カルヴァーリョ
18%

パウロ・ロベルト少佐
18%

アントニオ・ジョゼ・リラ
14%

ジャルデーニャ・ベゼッラ
14%

クローウス・ジョゼ
13%

ティアゴ・ジュンケイラ
8%

パストール・セナ
8%

フランシナウド・レアン
7%

アレクサンドレ・マリアーノ
7%

フリオ・セーザル
7%

マリア・マダレナ・ヌネス
7%

ミッショナリオ・エヴァンドロ・クラヴェイロ
7%

トインホ・ドゥフランゴ
7%

シロ・ノゲイラ
7%

イルマオ・エヴァンドロ・マルケス
7%

マルセロ・カストロ
7%

ペドロ・ラウレンチーノ
18%
アントニオ・バロス 18%
ホルヘ・ロペス 18%
ダニエル・ロシャ 18%
ディオニジオ・カルヴァーリョ 18%

アントニオ・バロス
18%

ホルヘ・ロペス
18%

ダニエル・ロシャ
18%

ディオニジオ・カルヴァーリョ
18%

パウロ・ロベルト少佐
18%

アントニオ・ジョゼ・リラ
14%

ジャルデーニャ・ベゼッラ
14%

クローウス・ジョゼ
13%

ティアゴ・ジュンケイラ
8%

パストール・セナ
8%

フランシナウド・レアン
7%

アレクサンドレ・マリアーノ
7%

フリオ・セーザル
7%

マリア・マダレナ・ヌネス
7%

ミッショナリオ・エヴァンドロ・クラヴェイロ
7%

トインホ・ドゥフランゴ
7%

シロ・ノゲイラ
7%

イルマオ・エヴァンドロ・マルケス
7%

マルセロ・カストロ
7%

ペドロ・ラウレンチーノ
18%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日: Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Piauí Senate race for the two seats remains tightly contested heading into October 2026, with recent Atlas and Opinar polls showing Marcelo Castro (MDB) holding a narrow lead, followed closely by Ciro Nogueira (PP) and Júlio César (PSD) within the margin of error for the second position. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, as a crowded field of 20 registered candidates fragments support and limits any single contender's consolidation. Key dynamics include Ciro Nogueira's ongoing outreach for federal government neutrality or backing amid traditional left-leaning voter patterns in the state, alongside party federation negotiations and regional alliances that could shift second-preference flows. Late campaign events, such as debate performances, targeted regional spending, or last-minute endorsements from Brasília, hold potential to reorder the middle of the pack before ballots close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問