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ザクセン=アンハルト州議会選挙の勝者

Market icon

ザクセン=アンハルト州議会選挙の勝者

AfD 87%

CDU 8.9%

BSW 1.0%

FDP 1.0%

Polymarket

$672,298 Vol.

AfD 87%

CDU 8.9%

BSW 1.0%

FDP 1.0%

Polymarket

$672,298 Vol.

AfDは2026年ザクセン=アンハルト州議会選挙で最も多くの議席を獲得しますか? icon

AfD

$10,363 Vol.

87%

2026年ザクセン=アンハルト州議会選挙でCDUが最も多くの議席を獲得しますか? icon

CDU

$467,866 Vol.

9%

BSWは2026年ザクセン=アンハルト州議会選挙で最多議席を獲得しますか? icon

BSW

$16,338 Vol.

1%

FDPは2026年ザクセン=アンハルト州議会選挙で最多議席を獲得しますか? icon

FDP

$12,033 Vol.

1%

2026年ザクセン=アンハルト州議会選挙で左翼党が最多議席を獲得しますか? icon

左翼党

$33,116 Vol.

1%

2026年ザクセン=アンハルト州議会選挙でSPDが最多議席を獲得しますか? icon

SPD

$105,688 Vol.

1%

2026年ザクセン=アンハルト州議会選挙で緑の党が最多議席を獲得しますか? icon

緑の党

$26,894 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Trader consensus heavily favors Alternative for Germany (AfD) as the strongest party in the September 6, 2026, Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election, reflecting consistent Sonntagsfrage polls showing AfD at 38-40%—a double-digit lead over CDU at 25-27%—stable since the January 2026 INSA survey. This positioning stems from AfD's momentum following its 38.8% in the 2025 federal election in the state, amid voter dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP coalition under new Minister-President Sven Schulze, who succeeded Reiner Haseloff in late January without closing the gap. Other parties trail far behind, with Die Linke at 11-13%, SPD at 6-8%, and BSW, FDP, and Greens in single digits. While coalition negotiations would follow, late scandals or polling shifts could theoretically challenge AfD's lead to most seats.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
音量
$672,298
終了日
2026/09/06
マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Trader consensus heavily favors Alternative for Germany (AfD) as the strongest party in the September 6, 2026, Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election, reflecting consistent Sonntagsfrage polls showing AfD at 38-40%—a double-digit lead over CDU at 25-27%—stable since the January 2026 INSA survey. This positioning stems from AfD's momentum following its 38.8% in the 2025 federal election in the state, amid voter dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP coalition under new Minister-President Sven Schulze, who succeeded Reiner Haseloff in late January without closing the gap. Other parties trail far behind, with Die Linke at 11-13%, SPD at 6-8%, and BSW, FDP, and Greens in single digits. While coalition negotiations would follow, late scandals or polling shifts could theoretically challenge AfD's lead to most seats.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
音量
$672,298
終了日
2026/09/06
マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ザクセン=アンハルト州議会選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「AfD」で87%、次いで「CDU」が9%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、87¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に87%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ザクセン=アンハルト州議会選挙の勝者」は$672.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Feb 11, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ザクセン=アンハルト州議会選挙の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ザクセン=アンハルト州議会選挙の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「AfD」で87%であり、市場がこの結果に87%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「CDU」で9%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ザクセン=アンハルト州議会選挙の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。