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icon for Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

icon for Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Up

<1% 確率
Polymarket

$2,938 Vol.

Up

<1% 確率
Polymarket

$2,938 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 24, 2026, than on April 17, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 17, 2026, than on April 24, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus prices "Down" at 97.8% for President Trump's weekly approval rating change, reflecting a sharp decline in the Silver Bulletin polling average to 39% approval as of April 24, driven by a deluge of new polls like AP-NORC, Reuters/Ipsos, and NBC showing second-term lows around 36-37%. Key drags include public disapproval of the ongoing Iran war—58% oppose U.S. involvement—and inflation concerns, with economic approval net -40 amid rising gas and food prices. With the week nearly over and midterms looming, reversal seems improbable barring a late diplomatic breakthrough on Iran, outlier positive poll, or upbeat economic data.

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 24, 2026, than on April 17, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 17, 2026, than on April 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.

The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.

If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$2,938
終了日
2026/04/25
マーケット開始日
Apr 17, 2026, 10:46 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 24, 2026, than on April 17, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 17, 2026, than on April 24, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

提案された結果: Down

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Down

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 24, 2026, than on April 17, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 17, 2026, than on April 24, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus prices "Down" at 97.8% for President Trump's weekly approval rating change, reflecting a sharp decline in the Silver Bulletin polling average to 39% approval as of April 24, driven by a deluge of new polls like AP-NORC, Reuters/Ipsos, and NBC showing second-term lows around 36-37%. Key drags include public disapproval of the ongoing Iran war—58% oppose U.S. involvement—and inflation concerns, with economic approval net -40 amid rising gas and food prices. With the week nearly over and midterms looming, reversal seems improbable barring a late diplomatic breakthrough on Iran, outlier positive poll, or upbeat economic data.

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 24, 2026, than on April 17, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 17, 2026, than on April 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.

The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.

If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$2,938
終了日
2026/04/25
マーケット開始日
Apr 17, 2026, 10:46 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 24, 2026, than on April 17, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 17, 2026, than on April 24, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

提案された結果: Down

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Down

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Trump approval Up or Down this week?」はPolymarket上の日次予測市場で、トレーダーはタイトルに指定された日次ウィンドウ内でTrump approval Up or Down this week?の価格が始値より高く(「Up」)終わるか低く(「Down」)終わるかのシェアを売買します。現在の市場確率は「Down」に対して100%です。価格100%は、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。価格はトレーダーがTrump approval Up or Down this week?のライブ価格変動に反応するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Trump approval Up or Down this week?」はPolymarket上のアクティブな短期市場です。日次ウィンドウの進行とともに取引量は急速に蓄積される可能性があります。このウィンドウが閉じる前に早めに参加してオッズの設定を手伝いましょう。

「Trump approval Up or Down this week?」で取引するには、April 24の正午ETにおけるTrump approval Up or Down this week?の価格がApril 17の正午ETより高くなる(「Up」)か低くなる(「Down」)かを判断してください。価格が上がると思えば「Up」を、下がると思えば「Down」を購入します。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。結果が正しければ、各シェアは$1.00を支払います。正しくなければ、シェアは$0の価値になります。

この日次ウィンドウは閉じられ、決済されました。最終結果は「Down」でした。このページ上部の時間ナビゲーションを使用して、隣接するウィンドウを表示するか、現在のライブ市場を見つけてください。

「Trump approval Up or Down this week?」市場は、April 24の正午ETとApril 17の正午ETにおけるTrump approval Up or Down this week?の価格の比較に基づいて決済されます。Binance TRUMP-APPROVAL/USDTの1分キャンドル終値を使用します。April 24の正午価格が高ければ結果は「Up」、低ければ「Down」、同じであれば市場は50-50で決済されます。「ルール」セクションで完全な基準を確認できます。