U.S. policy continues to withhold formal recognition of Russian sovereignty over Crimea, with recent peace negotiations under the Trump administration exploring de facto accommodations or territory freezes but stopping short of any binding executive action. Congressional restrictions, including 2025 legislation prohibiting recognition of forcibly seized Ukrainian territory without Ukraine's consent, combined with the absence of a finalized settlement before the December 2026 deadline, underpin traders' strong consensus against near-term change. Diplomatic statements and ongoing military developments in the region have not shifted the baseline stance established since 2014. While a rapid breakthrough in bilateral talks or unilateral presidential recognition could still alter the outcome before year-end, procedural hurdles and the lack of verified formal steps make such shifts improbable in the remaining timeframe.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
4% 確率
$74,666 Vol.
$74,666 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
4% 確率
$74,666 Vol.
$74,666 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally recognizes Russian sovereignty over the majority of the Crimean peninsula by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
U.S. policy continues to withhold formal recognition of Russian sovereignty over Crimea, with recent peace negotiations under the Trump administration exploring de facto accommodations or territory freezes but stopping short of any binding executive action. Congressional restrictions, including 2025 legislation prohibiting recognition of forcibly seized Ukrainian territory without Ukraine's consent, combined with the absence of a finalized settlement before the December 2026 deadline, underpin traders' strong consensus against near-term change. Diplomatic statements and ongoing military developments in the region have not shifted the baseline stance established since 2014. While a rapid breakthrough in bilateral talks or unilateral presidential recognition could still alter the outcome before year-end, procedural hurdles and the lack of verified formal steps make such shifts improbable in the remaining timeframe.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally recognizes Russian sovereignty over the majority of the Crimean peninsula by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 12:50 PM ET
音量
$74,666終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 12:50 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally recognizes Russian sovereignty over the majority of the Crimean peninsula by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
U.S. policy continues to withhold formal recognition of Russian sovereignty over Crimea, with recent peace negotiations under the Trump administration exploring de facto accommodations or territory freezes but stopping short of any binding executive action. Congressional restrictions, including 2025 legislation prohibiting recognition of forcibly seized Ukrainian territory without Ukraine's consent, combined with the absence of a finalized settlement before the December 2026 deadline, underpin traders' strong consensus against near-term change. Diplomatic statements and ongoing military developments in the region have not shifted the baseline stance established since 2014. While a rapid breakthrough in bilateral talks or unilateral presidential recognition could still alter the outcome before year-end, procedural hurdles and the lack of verified formal steps make such shifts improbable in the remaining timeframe.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally recognizes Russian sovereignty over the majority of the Crimean peninsula by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$74,666終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 12:50 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...U.S. policy continues to withhold formal recognition of Russian sovereignty over Crimea, with recent peace negotiations under the Trump administration exploring de facto accommodations or territory freezes but stopping short of any binding executive action. Congressional restrictions, including 2025 legislation prohibiting recognition of forcibly seized Ukrainian territory without Ukraine's consent, combined with the absence of a finalized settlement before the December 2026 deadline, underpin traders' strong consensus against near-term change. Diplomatic statements and ongoing military developments in the region have not shifted the baseline stance established since 2014. While a rapid breakthrough in bilateral talks or unilateral presidential recognition could still alter the outcome before year-end, procedural hurdles and the lack of verified formal steps make such shifts improbable in the remaining timeframe.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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