Bipartisan congressional reaffirmation of U.S. support for Ukraine's territorial integrity, including the House passage of broad Russia sanctions legislation on September 17, 2026, anchors trader expectations against formal recognition of Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027. Ongoing Ukrainian strikes on the peninsula, Russian parliamentary elections in occupied areas, and repeated international statements rejecting the 2014 annexation reinforce policy continuity. Legislative proposals such as the Crimea Annexation Non-Recognition Act and Ukrainian insistence on territorial restoration as a red line further limit near-term shifts. While a negotiated settlement could theoretically prompt executive action on recognition, congressional opposition, alliance coordination requirements, and the absence of verified diplomatic breakthroughs within the resolution window sustain the current consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
4% 確率
$74,666 Vol.
$74,666 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
4% 確率
$74,666 Vol.
$74,666 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally recognizes Russian sovereignty over the majority of the Crimean peninsula by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Bipartisan congressional reaffirmation of U.S. support for Ukraine's territorial integrity, including the House passage of broad Russia sanctions legislation on September 17, 2026, anchors trader expectations against formal recognition of Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027. Ongoing Ukrainian strikes on the peninsula, Russian parliamentary elections in occupied areas, and repeated international statements rejecting the 2014 annexation reinforce policy continuity. Legislative proposals such as the Crimea Annexation Non-Recognition Act and Ukrainian insistence on territorial restoration as a red line further limit near-term shifts. While a negotiated settlement could theoretically prompt executive action on recognition, congressional opposition, alliance coordination requirements, and the absence of verified diplomatic breakthroughs within the resolution window sustain the current consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally recognizes Russian sovereignty over the majority of the Crimean peninsula by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 12:50 PM ET
音量
$74,666終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 12:50 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally recognizes Russian sovereignty over the majority of the Crimean peninsula by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Bipartisan congressional reaffirmation of U.S. support for Ukraine's territorial integrity, including the House passage of broad Russia sanctions legislation on September 17, 2026, anchors trader expectations against formal recognition of Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027. Ongoing Ukrainian strikes on the peninsula, Russian parliamentary elections in occupied areas, and repeated international statements rejecting the 2014 annexation reinforce policy continuity. Legislative proposals such as the Crimea Annexation Non-Recognition Act and Ukrainian insistence on territorial restoration as a red line further limit near-term shifts. While a negotiated settlement could theoretically prompt executive action on recognition, congressional opposition, alliance coordination requirements, and the absence of verified diplomatic breakthroughs within the resolution window sustain the current consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally recognizes Russian sovereignty over the majority of the Crimean peninsula by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$74,666終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 12:50 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Bipartisan congressional reaffirmation of U.S. support for Ukraine's territorial integrity, including the House passage of broad Russia sanctions legislation on September 17, 2026, anchors trader expectations against formal recognition of Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027. Ongoing Ukrainian strikes on the peninsula, Russian parliamentary elections in occupied areas, and repeated international statements rejecting the 2014 annexation reinforce policy continuity. Legislative proposals such as the Crimea Annexation Non-Recognition Act and Ukrainian insistence on territorial restoration as a red line further limit near-term shifts. While a negotiated settlement could theoretically prompt executive action on recognition, congressional opposition, alliance coordination requirements, and the absence of verified diplomatic breakthroughs within the resolution window sustain the current consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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