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icon for 米国は2027年までにウクライナに対するロシアの主権を承認しますか?

米国は2027年までにウクライナに対するロシアの主権を承認しますか?

icon for 米国は2027年までにウクライナに対するロシアの主権を承認しますか?

米国は2027年までにウクライナに対するロシアの主権を承認しますか?

はい

3% 確率
Polymarket

$188,976 Vol.

はい

3% 確率
Polymarket

$188,976 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially recognizes Russian sovereignty over any portion of Ukrainian territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action. Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify. Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea. The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.US non-recognition of Russian sovereignty claims over Ukrainian territories remains anchored in longstanding policy, including the Welles Declaration precedent and explicit congressional prohibitions against implying or extending recognition to annexed regions such as Crimea, Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson. Recent developments reinforce this stance, including September 2026 Russian parliamentary elections in occupied areas that drew immediate condemnation from Ukrainian officials, the EU, and US-aligned positions, alongside ongoing Trump administration talks via envoys that have not altered the refusal of de jure recognition. Bipartisan legislative measures and statements from figures involved in negotiations further signal continuity. While a comprehensive peace settlement could theoretically include formal recognition as a concession, structural barriers including Ukrainian constitutional limits, domestic US opposition, and Russia's maximalist demands make such an outcome before 2027 highly improbable under current conditions.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially recognizes Russian sovereignty over any portion of Ukrainian territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.

Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.

Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea.

The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially recognizes Russian sovereignty over any portion of Ukrainian territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action. Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify. Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea. The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.
音量
$188,976
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Nov 13, 2025, 5:51 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially recognizes Russian sovereignty over any portion of Ukrainian territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action. Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify. Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea. The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.US non-recognition of Russian sovereignty claims over Ukrainian territories remains anchored in longstanding policy, including the Welles Declaration precedent and explicit congressional prohibitions against implying or extending recognition to annexed regions such as Crimea, Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson. Recent developments reinforce this stance, including September 2026 Russian parliamentary elections in occupied areas that drew immediate condemnation from Ukrainian officials, the EU, and US-aligned positions, alongside ongoing Trump administration talks via envoys that have not altered the refusal of de jure recognition. Bipartisan legislative measures and statements from figures involved in negotiations further signal continuity. While a comprehensive peace settlement could theoretically include formal recognition as a concession, structural barriers including Ukrainian constitutional limits, domestic US opposition, and Russia's maximalist demands make such an outcome before 2027 highly improbable under current conditions.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially recognizes Russian sovereignty over any portion of Ukrainian territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.

Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.

Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea.

The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially recognizes Russian sovereignty over any portion of Ukrainian territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action. Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify. Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea. The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.
音量
$188,976
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Nov 13, 2025, 5:51 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「米国は2027年までにウクライナに対するロシアの主権を承認しますか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「米国は2027年以前にウクライナに対するロシアの主権を認めますか?」で3%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、3¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に3%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「米国は2027年までにウクライナに対するロシアの主権を承認しますか?」は$189Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Nov 13, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「米国は2027年までにウクライナに対するロシアの主権を承認しますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「米国は2027年までにウクライナに対するロシアの主権を承認しますか?」の現在のリーダーは「米国は2027年以前にウクライナに対するロシアの主権を認めますか?」でわずか3%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「米国は2027年までにウクライナに対するロシアの主権を承認しますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。