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どのKPopグループが2026年に曲をリリースしますか？

Market icon

どのKPopグループが2026年に曲をリリースしますか？

$83,721 Vol.

2026/12/31
Polymarket

$83,721 Vol.

Polymarket

ル セラフィム

$2,427 Vol.

99%

Babymonster

$4,981 Vol.

98%

Itzy

$2,182 Vol.

96%

Twice

$14,230 Vol.

69%

NewJeans

$33 Vol.

16%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors established KPop acts with confirmed 2026 comebacks, driven by EXO's REVERXE album in January, BLACKPINK's Deadline mini-album in late February, and BTS's long-awaited ARIRANG full-group return on March 20 following military discharges. Recent agency announcements bolster Yes probabilities for Q2 releases, including HYBE's EVNNE and AMPERS&ONE in April, JYP's NMIXX on May 11 and BOYNEXTDOOR in May, plus Billlie's May 6 EP amid aggressive promotional schedules. Industry dynamics like contract renewals and post-enlistment availability fuel momentum for SEVENTEEN, Stray Kids, and aespa, though NewJeans remains uncertain without official teasers; traders monitor tracklists and Mnet previews through December for late-year shifts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.

Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.

The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
音量
$83,721
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Feb 3, 2026, 5:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors established KPop acts with confirmed 2026 comebacks, driven by EXO's REVERXE album in January, BLACKPINK's Deadline mini-album in late February, and BTS's long-awaited ARIRANG full-group return on March 20 following military discharges. Recent agency announcements bolster Yes probabilities for Q2 releases, including HYBE's EVNNE and AMPERS&ONE in April, JYP's NMIXX on May 11 and BOYNEXTDOOR in May, plus Billlie's May 6 EP amid aggressive promotional schedules. Industry dynamics like contract renewals and post-enlistment availability fuel momentum for SEVENTEEN, Stray Kids, and aespa, though NewJeans remains uncertain without official teasers; traders monitor tracklists and Mnet previews through December for late-year shifts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.

Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.

The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
音量
$83,721
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Feb 3, 2026, 5:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「どのKPopグループが2026年に曲をリリースしますか？」はPolymarket上の10個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「(G)I-DLE」で100%、次いで「IVE」が100%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「どのKPopグループが2026年に曲をリリースしますか？」は$83.7Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Feb 3, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「どのKPopグループが2026年に曲をリリースしますか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている10個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「どのKPopグループが2026年に曲をリリースしますか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「(G)I-DLE」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「IVE」で100%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「どのKPopグループが2026年に曲をリリースしますか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。