Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden's 13 September general election show the centre-left opposition bloc, anchored by the Social Democrats, holding a lead over the incumbent right-wing Tidö parties, though the margin has narrowed in August surveys. The current minority coalition of Moderates, Christian Democrats and Liberals relies on Sweden Democrats' confidence-and-supply support, yet Liberals risk falling below the 4% parliamentary threshold. Key influences include voter priorities on crime, immigration policy and economic conditions, alongside bloc dynamics that typically require post-election negotiations for a majority or stable government. Advance voting has begun, with final results determining coalition possibilities involving the Left Party, Greens or Centre Party.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
91%

Green Party (MP)
78%

Left Party (V)
71%

Centre Party (C)
73%

Liberals (L)
29%

Christian Democrats (KD)
20%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
10%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
5%

Moderate Party (M)
48%
$7,959 Vol.

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
91%

Green Party (MP)
78%

Left Party (V)
71%

Centre Party (C)
73%

Liberals (L)
29%

Christian Democrats (KD)
20%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
10%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
5%

Moderate Party (M)
48%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
マーケット開始日: Aug 19, 2026, 3:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden's 13 September general election show the centre-left opposition bloc, anchored by the Social Democrats, holding a lead over the incumbent right-wing Tidö parties, though the margin has narrowed in August surveys. The current minority coalition of Moderates, Christian Democrats and Liberals relies on Sweden Democrats' confidence-and-supply support, yet Liberals risk falling below the 4% parliamentary threshold. Key influences include voter priorities on crime, immigration policy and economic conditions, alongside bloc dynamics that typically require post-election negotiations for a majority or stable government. Advance voting has begun, with final results determining coalition possibilities involving the Left Party, Greens or Centre Party.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問