Turkish opposition figure Özgür Özel faces no active detention proceedings or arrest warrant tied to the June 30, 2026 deadline, supporting traders' 97.7% consensus on "No." A May 2026 court ruling annulled his 2023 CHP leadership election and named Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu interim leader, prompting related detentions of other party members over congress irregularities, yet Özel remains publicly active, issuing statements and directing resignations to force an extraordinary congress. Prior 2025 probes into alleged insults against officials produced no custody. The compressed timeline and absence of fresh enforcement signals reinforce the view that arrest is improbable absent abrupt new charges or political escalation, though targeted judicial moves before month-end could still shift the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$41,659 Vol.
$41,659 Vol.
2026/06/30
$41,659 Vol.
$41,659 Vol.
2026/06/30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkish opposition figure Özgür Özel faces no active detention proceedings or arrest warrant tied to the June 30, 2026 deadline, supporting traders' 97.7% consensus on "No." A May 2026 court ruling annulled his 2023 CHP leadership election and named Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu interim leader, prompting related detentions of other party members over congress irregularities, yet Özel remains publicly active, issuing statements and directing resignations to force an extraordinary congress. Prior 2025 probes into alleged insults against officials produced no custody. The compressed timeline and absence of fresh enforcement signals reinforce the view that arrest is improbable absent abrupt new charges or political escalation, though targeted judicial moves before month-end could still shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： May 24, 2026, 9:47 PM ET
音量
$41,659終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
May 24, 2026, 9:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkish opposition figure Özgür Özel faces no active detention proceedings or arrest warrant tied to the June 30, 2026 deadline, supporting traders' 97.7% consensus on "No." A May 2026 court ruling annulled his 2023 CHP leadership election and named Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu interim leader, prompting related detentions of other party members over congress irregularities, yet Özel remains publicly active, issuing statements and directing resignations to force an extraordinary congress. Prior 2025 probes into alleged insults against officials produced no custody. The compressed timeline and absence of fresh enforcement signals reinforce the view that arrest is improbable absent abrupt new charges or political escalation, though targeted judicial moves before month-end could still shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$41,659終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
May 24, 2026, 9:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Turkish opposition figure Özgür Özel faces no active detention proceedings or arrest warrant tied to the June 30, 2026 deadline, supporting traders' 97.7% consensus on "No." A May 2026 court ruling annulled his 2023 CHP leadership election and named Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu interim leader, prompting related detentions of other party members over congress irregularities, yet Özel remains publicly active, issuing statements and directing resignations to force an extraordinary congress. Prior 2025 probes into alleged insults against officials produced no custody. The compressed timeline and absence of fresh enforcement signals reinforce the view that arrest is improbable absent abrupt new charges or political escalation, though targeted judicial moves before month-end could still shift the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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