Skip to main content

米国で取引するにはpolymarket.us

icon for 2027年までに逮捕されるのは誰ですか?

2027年までに逮捕されるのは誰ですか?

icon for 2027年までに逮捕されるのは誰ですか?

2027年までに逮捕されるのは誰ですか?

$422,476 Vol.

Polymarket

$422,476 Vol.

Polymarket

アンソニー・ファウチ

$167,085 Vol.

8%

ジョン・ブレナン

$24,949 Vol.

25%

ホセ・ルイス・ロドリゲス・サパテロ

$23,915 Vol.

13%

アダム・シフ

$17,036 Vol.

3%

バラク・オバマ

$29,681 Vol.

2%

ジェームズ・コミー

$10,852 Vol.

8%

マフムード・カリール

$1,385 Vol.

18%

ジェームズ・クラッパー

$8,469 Vol.

12%

レティティア・ジェームズ

$4,349 Vol.

8%

ヒラリー・クリントン

$26,360 Vol.

2%

ビル・クリントン

$2,889 Vol.

1%

ロレッタ・リンチ

$2,411 Vol.

8%

スーザン・ライス

$304 Vol.

9%

キャンディス・オーウェンズ

$268 Vol.

7%

ギャビン・ニューサム

$39,441 Vol.

3%

ベンヤミン・ネタニヤフ

$1,949 Vol.

5%

ジョン・ケリー

$503 Vol.

1%

パム・ボンディ

$2,189 Vol.

2%

トム・ホーマン

$42,112 Vol.

5%

カッシュ・パテル

$607 Vol.

1%

ブランドン・ジョンソン

$3,290 Vol.

10%

リサ・クック

$4,042 Vol.

3%

イ・ジュンソク

$794 Vol.

11%

ジョー・バイデン

$7,597 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing DOJ investigations into alleged actions against President Trump, including a broad "grand conspiracy" probe and a specific grand jury subpoena for former CIA Director John Brennan to appear October 15, 2026, represent the main driver of trader focus. Former FBI Director James Comey faces separate federal charges in North Carolina tied to a 2025 social media post, with his trial potentially delayed into 2027. These proceedings, along with related scrutiny of other ex-officials, shape positioning in this multi-outcome market resolving December 31, 2026. No high-profile arrests among listed individuals have occurred in recent weeks, leaving outcomes dependent on whether probes yield indictments or custody before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring

The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$422,476
マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing DOJ investigations into alleged actions against President Trump, including a broad "grand conspiracy" probe and a specific grand jury subpoena for former CIA Director John Brennan to appear October 15, 2026, represent the main driver of trader focus. Former FBI Director James Comey faces separate federal charges in North Carolina tied to a 2025 social media post, with his trial potentially delayed into 2027. These proceedings, along with related scrutiny of other ex-officials, shape positioning in this multi-outcome market resolving December 31, 2026. No high-profile arrests among listed individuals have occurred in recent weeks, leaving outcomes dependent on whether probes yield indictments or custody before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring

The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$422,476
マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「2027年までに逮捕されるのは誰ですか?」はPolymarket上の24個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ジョン・ブレナン」で25%、次いで「マフムード・カリール」が18%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、25¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に25%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「2027年までに逮捕されるのは誰ですか?」は$422.5Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Apr 30, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「2027年までに逮捕されるのは誰ですか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている24個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「2027年までに逮捕されるのは誰ですか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「ジョン・ブレナン」で25%であり、市場がこの結果に25%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「マフムード・カリール」で18%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「2027年までに逮捕されるのは誰ですか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。