Ongoing DOJ investigations into alleged actions against President Trump, including a broad "grand conspiracy" probe and a specific grand jury subpoena for former CIA Director John Brennan to appear October 15, 2026, represent the main driver of trader focus. Former FBI Director James Comey faces separate federal charges in North Carolina tied to a 2025 social media post, with his trial potentially delayed into 2027. These proceedings, along with related scrutiny of other ex-officials, shape positioning in this multi-outcome market resolving December 31, 2026. No high-profile arrests among listed individuals have occurred in recent weeks, leaving outcomes dependent on whether probes yield indictments or custody before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$422,476 Vol.
アンソニー・ファウチ
8%
ジョン・ブレナン
25%
ホセ・ルイス・ロドリゲス・サパテロ
13%
アダム・シフ
3%
バラク・オバマ
2%
ジェームズ・コミー
8%
マフムード・カリール
18%
ジェームズ・クラッパー
12%
レティティア・ジェームズ
8%
ヒラリー・クリントン
2%
ビル・クリントン
1%
ロレッタ・リンチ
8%
スーザン・ライス
9%
キャンディス・オーウェンズ
7%
ギャビン・ニューサム
3%
ベンヤミン・ネタニヤフ
5%
ジョン・ケリー
1%
パム・ボンディ
2%
トム・ホーマン
5%
カッシュ・パテル
1%
ブランドン・ジョンソン
10%
リサ・クック
3%
イ・ジュンソク
11%
ジョー・バイデン
1%
$422,476 Vol.
アンソニー・ファウチ
8%
ジョン・ブレナン
25%
ホセ・ルイス・ロドリゲス・サパテロ
13%
アダム・シフ
3%
バラク・オバマ
2%
ジェームズ・コミー
8%
マフムード・カリール
18%
ジェームズ・クラッパー
12%
レティティア・ジェームズ
8%
ヒラリー・クリントン
2%
ビル・クリントン
1%
ロレッタ・リンチ
8%
スーザン・ライス
9%
キャンディス・オーウェンズ
7%
ギャビン・ニューサム
3%
ベンヤミン・ネタニヤフ
5%
ジョン・ケリー
1%
パム・ボンディ
2%
トム・ホーマン
5%
カッシュ・パテル
1%
ブランドン・ジョンソン
10%
リサ・クック
3%
イ・ジュンソク
11%
ジョー・バイデン
1%
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x65070BE91...A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
リゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Ongoing DOJ investigations into alleged actions against President Trump, including a broad "grand conspiracy" probe and a specific grand jury subpoena for former CIA Director John Brennan to appear October 15, 2026, represent the main driver of trader focus. Former FBI Director James Comey faces separate federal charges in North Carolina tied to a 2025 social media post, with his trial potentially delayed into 2027. These proceedings, along with related scrutiny of other ex-officials, shape positioning in this multi-outcome market resolving December 31, 2026. No high-profile arrests among listed individuals have occurred in recent weeks, leaving outcomes dependent on whether probes yield indictments or custody before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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