French Hill, the Republican incumbent since 2015, secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary for Arkansas's 2nd Congressional District and faces Democrat Chris Jones in the November general election. The district's R+8 partisan voting index, combined with its post-2020 redistricting that reduced competitiveness around Little Rock, has produced consistent Republican margins exceeding 25 points in recent cycles. Jones's nomination follows his 2022 gubernatorial run, but the seat's structural Republican tilt and Hill's established fundraising and name recognition limit Democratic prospects. No major late-cycle shifts, such as scandals or polling swings, have altered the race's Solid Republican rating from forecasters. Trader consensus on the Republican outcome reflects these entrenched district dynamics ahead of the general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
87%
Democratic Party
12%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$2,322 거래량
87%
Democratic Party
$5,930 거래량
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).French Hill, the Republican incumbent since 2015, secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary for Arkansas's 2nd Congressional District and faces Democrat Chris Jones in the November general election. The district's R+8 partisan voting index, combined with its post-2020 redistricting that reduced competitiveness around Little Rock, has produced consistent Republican margins exceeding 25 points in recent cycles. Jones's nomination follows his 2022 gubernatorial run, but the seat's structural Republican tilt and Hill's established fundraising and name recognition limit Democratic prospects. No major late-cycle shifts, such as scandals or polling swings, have altered the race's Solid Republican rating from forecasters. Trader consensus on the Republican outcome reflects these entrenched district dynamics ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
거래량
$8,252종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).French Hill, the Republican incumbent since 2015, secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary for Arkansas's 2nd Congressional District and faces Democrat Chris Jones in the November general election. The district's R+8 partisan voting index, combined with its post-2020 redistricting that reduced competitiveness around Little Rock, has produced consistent Republican margins exceeding 25 points in recent cycles. Jones's nomination follows his 2022 gubernatorial run, but the seat's structural Republican tilt and Hill's established fundraising and name recognition limit Democratic prospects. No major late-cycle shifts, such as scandals or polling swings, have altered the race's Solid Republican rating from forecasters. Trader consensus on the Republican outcome reflects these entrenched district dynamics ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$8,252종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...French Hill, the Republican incumbent since 2015, secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary for Arkansas's 2nd Congressional District and faces Democrat Chris Jones in the November general election. The district's R+8 partisan voting index, combined with its post-2020 redistricting that reduced competitiveness around Little Rock, has produced consistent Republican margins exceeding 25 points in recent cycles. Jones's nomination follows his 2022 gubernatorial run, but the seat's structural Republican tilt and Hill's established fundraising and name recognition limit Democratic prospects. No major late-cycle shifts, such as scandals or polling swings, have altered the race's Solid Republican rating from forecasters. Trader consensus on the Republican outcome reflects these entrenched district dynamics ahead of the general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문