Democratic incumbent Joe Neguse holds a commanding position in Colorado’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election. The district’s D+20 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance—Neguse won 68 percent in 2024—underpin trader consensus that favors the Democratic nominee. Neguse faces no primary opposition on June 30, while Republicans are contesting their primary between two lesser-known candidates. Forecasters across Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the margin, though the district’s structural lean makes such shifts improbable.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$30,967 거래량
$30,967 거래량
민주당
94%
공화당
5%
$30,967 거래량
$30,967 거래량
민주당
94%
공화당
5%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Joe Neguse holds a commanding position in Colorado’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election. The district’s D+20 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance—Neguse won 68 percent in 2024—underpin trader consensus that favors the Democratic nominee. Neguse faces no primary opposition on June 30, while Republicans are contesting their primary between two lesser-known candidates. Forecasters across Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the margin, though the district’s structural lean makes such shifts improbable.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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