DeepSeek's official launch of its V4 large language model series today has driven trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for release on or prior to April 24, with models now open-sourced on Hugging Face under MIT license and accessible via API. The V4-Pro (1.6T total parameters, 49B active MoE) and V4-Flash (284B total, 13B active) boast 1M-token context windows, Huawei Ascend chip optimization after training delays, and benchmarks rivaling Claude Opus and GPT-5 in reasoning and agent tasks. This follows weeks of anticipation from Reuters reports and test interfaces since early April. While resolution hinges on precise market criteria like full weights availability, disputes over "preview" status seem improbable given rapid deployment and developer uptake.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트April 25 <1%
April 26 <1%
April 27 <1%
April 28 <1%
신규
$44,086 거래량
신규
$44,086 거래량
2026.05.15
April 25
<1%
April 26
<1%
April 27
<1%
April 28
<1%
April 29
<1%
April 30
<1%
May 1
<1%
May 2
<1%
May 3
<1%
May 4
<1%
May 5
<1%
May 6
<1%
May 8
<1%
May 9
<1%
May 10
<1%
May 11
<1%
May 12
<1%
May 13
<1%
May 14
<1%
May 15
<1%
Not released by May 15
<1%
April 25 <1%
April 26 <1%
April 27 <1%
April 28 <1%
신규
$44,086 거래량
신규
$44,086 거래량
2026.05.15
April 25
$243 거래량
<1%
April 26
$200 거래량
<1%
April 27
$242 거래량
<1%
April 28
$619 거래량
<1%
April 29
$535 거래량
<1%
April 30
$624 거래량
<1%
May 1
$807 거래량
<1%
May 2
$633 거래량
<1%
May 3
$654 거래량
<1%
May 4
$653 거래량
<1%
May 5
$672 거래량
<1%
May 6
$1,131 거래량
<1%
May 8
$650 거래량
<1%
May 9
$435 거래량
<1%
May 10
$679 거래량
<1%
May 11
$535 거래량
<1%
May 12
$451 거래량
<1%
May 13
$450 거래량
<1%
May 14
$450 거래량
<1%
May 15
$401 거래량
<1%
Not released by May 15
$10,377 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which the next DeepSeek V model is made available to the general public.
Intermediate versions (e.g., DeepSeek-V3.5) will not count; however, versions such as DeepSeek V4 or V5 would count.
The "next DeepSeek V model" refers to the next major release in the DeepSeek V series, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3.
Only releases representing a core version progression in the DeepSeek V series, “clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3,” will qualify. Other models, such as derivative models (e.g., "V4-Lite," "V4-Mini"), task-specialized models, R-series reasoning models, and experimental or preview releases (e.g., "V4-Exp," "V4-Preview"), that are not positioned as the new V flagship model, will not qualify.
To qualify, the next DeepSeek V model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.DeepSeek's official launch of its V4 large language model series today has driven trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for release on or prior to April 24, with models now open-sourced on Hugging Face under MIT license and accessible via API. The V4-Pro (1.6T total parameters, 49B active MoE) and V4-Flash (284B total, 13B active) boast 1M-token context windows, Huawei Ascend chip optimization after training delays, and benchmarks rivaling Claude Opus and GPT-5 in reasoning and agent tasks. This follows weeks of anticipation from Reuters reports and test interfaces since early April. While resolution hinges on precise market criteria like full weights availability, disputes over "preview" status seem improbable given rapid deployment and developer uptake.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which the next DeepSeek V model is made available to the general public.
Intermediate versions (e.g., DeepSeek-V3.5) will not count; however, versions such as DeepSeek V4 or V5 would count.
The "next DeepSeek V model" refers to the next major release in the DeepSeek V series, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3.
Only releases representing a core version progression in the DeepSeek V series, “clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3,” will qualify. Other models, such as derivative models (e.g., "V4-Lite," "V4-Mini"), task-specialized models, R-series reasoning models, and experimental or preview releases (e.g., "V4-Exp," "V4-Preview"), that are not positioned as the new V flagship model, will not qualify.
To qualify, the next DeepSeek V model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Intermediate versions (e.g., DeepSeek-V3.5) will not count; however, versions such as DeepSeek V4 or V5 would count.
The "next DeepSeek V model" refers to the next major release in the DeepSeek V series, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3.
Only releases representing a core version progression in the DeepSeek V series, “clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3,” will qualify. Other models, such as derivative models (e.g., "V4-Lite," "V4-Mini"), task-specialized models, R-series reasoning models, and experimental or preview releases (e.g., "V4-Exp," "V4-Preview"), that are not positioned as the new V flagship model, will not qualify.
To qualify, the next DeepSeek V model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Apr 23, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
거래량
$44,086종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
Apr 23, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: No
이의 제기 기간
최종
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which the next DeepSeek V model is made available to the general public.
Intermediate versions (e.g., DeepSeek-V3.5) will not count; however, versions such as DeepSeek V4 or V5 would count.
The "next DeepSeek V model" refers to the next major release in the DeepSeek V series, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3.
Only releases representing a core version progression in the DeepSeek V series, “clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3,” will qualify. Other models, such as derivative models (e.g., "V4-Lite," "V4-Mini"), task-specialized models, R-series reasoning models, and experimental or preview releases (e.g., "V4-Exp," "V4-Preview"), that are not positioned as the new V flagship model, will not qualify.
To qualify, the next DeepSeek V model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.DeepSeek's official launch of its V4 large language model series today has driven trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for release on or prior to April 24, with models now open-sourced on Hugging Face under MIT license and accessible via API. The V4-Pro (1.6T total parameters, 49B active MoE) and V4-Flash (284B total, 13B active) boast 1M-token context windows, Huawei Ascend chip optimization after training delays, and benchmarks rivaling Claude Opus and GPT-5 in reasoning and agent tasks. This follows weeks of anticipation from Reuters reports and test interfaces since early April. While resolution hinges on precise market criteria like full weights availability, disputes over "preview" status seem improbable given rapid deployment and developer uptake.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which the next DeepSeek V model is made available to the general public.
Intermediate versions (e.g., DeepSeek-V3.5) will not count; however, versions such as DeepSeek V4 or V5 would count.
The "next DeepSeek V model" refers to the next major release in the DeepSeek V series, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3.
Only releases representing a core version progression in the DeepSeek V series, “clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3,” will qualify. Other models, such as derivative models (e.g., "V4-Lite," "V4-Mini"), task-specialized models, R-series reasoning models, and experimental or preview releases (e.g., "V4-Exp," "V4-Preview"), that are not positioned as the new V flagship model, will not qualify.
To qualify, the next DeepSeek V model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Intermediate versions (e.g., DeepSeek-V3.5) will not count; however, versions such as DeepSeek V4 or V5 would count.
The "next DeepSeek V model" refers to the next major release in the DeepSeek V series, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3.
Only releases representing a core version progression in the DeepSeek V series, “clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3,” will qualify. Other models, such as derivative models (e.g., "V4-Lite," "V4-Mini"), task-specialized models, R-series reasoning models, and experimental or preview releases (e.g., "V4-Exp," "V4-Preview"), that are not positioned as the new V flagship model, will not qualify.
To qualify, the next DeepSeek V model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$44,086종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
Apr 23, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: No
이의 제기 기간
최종
DeepSeek's official launch of its V4 large language model series today has driven trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for release on or prior to April 24, with models now open-sourced on Hugging Face under MIT license and accessible via API. The V4-Pro (1.6T total parameters, 49B active MoE) and V4-Flash (284B total, 13B active) boast 1M-token context windows, Huawei Ascend chip optimization after training delays, and benchmarks rivaling Claude Opus and GPT-5 in reasoning and agent tasks. This follows weeks of anticipation from Reuters reports and test interfaces since early April. While resolution hinges on precise market criteria like full weights availability, disputes over "preview" status seem improbable given rapid deployment and developer uptake.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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