Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's May 2026 X posts in tightly clustered bins around 1160-1239 at roughly 8-9% each, implying a ~38-40 daily average—below March's confirmed 1320-1359 total amid sustained political commentary and xAI momentum. Recent April surges to 57-78 posts per day during SpaceX megabuilding reveals and Grok beta teases have fueled higher-tail bets like 1320+, but competitive dynamics reflect uncertainty over his baseline amid Tesla FSD demos, South Africa critiques, and potential DOGE duties. Swing factors include upcoming Starship flights and Q2 earnings, which could spike viral engagement, while news lulls tilt toward conservative outcomes in this celebrity-driven pop culture staple.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트1160~1199 8.9%
1200-1239 8.3%
1320-1359 8.1%
1,280~1,319 7.9%
$310,840 거래량
$310,840 거래량
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80~99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220~239
<1%
240~259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280~299
<1%
300~319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360~379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560~579
<1%
580~599
<1%
600-619
1%
620-639
<1%
640-659
<1%
660-679
<1%
680~699
<1%
700-719
<1%
720-739
<1%
740-759
<1%
760-779
1%
780-799
1%
800-839
1%
840-879
1%
880-919
1%
920-959
1%
960-999
2%
1000~1039
2%
1040-1079
5%
1080-1119
3%
1120-1159
6%
1160~1199
9%
1200-1239
8%
1240-1279
8%
1,280~1,319
8%
1320-1359
8%
1360-1399
7%
1400~1439
7%
1440-1479
6%
1480~1519
4%
1520-1559
3%
1560~1599
2%
1600~1679
1%
1680~1759
1%
1760-1839
1%
1840-1919
2%
1920-1999
1%
2000개 이상
1%
1160~1199 8.9%
1200-1239 8.3%
1320-1359 8.1%
1,280~1,319 7.9%
$310,840 거래량
$310,840 거래량
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80~99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220~239
<1%
240~259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280~299
<1%
300~319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360~379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560~579
<1%
580~599
<1%
600-619
1%
620-639
<1%
640-659
<1%
660-679
<1%
680~699
<1%
700-719
<1%
720-739
<1%
740-759
<1%
760-779
1%
780-799
1%
800-839
1%
840-879
1%
880-919
1%
920-959
1%
960-999
2%
1000~1039
2%
1040-1079
5%
1080-1119
3%
1120-1159
6%
1160~1199
9%
1200-1239
8%
1240-1279
8%
1,280~1,319
8%
1320-1359
8%
1360-1399
7%
1400~1439
7%
1440-1479
6%
1480~1519
4%
1520-1559
3%
1560~1599
2%
1600~1679
1%
1680~1759
1%
1760-1839
1%
1840-1919
2%
1920-1999
1%
2000개 이상
1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
마켓 개설일: Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's May 2026 X posts in tightly clustered bins around 1160-1239 at roughly 8-9% each, implying a ~38-40 daily average—below March's confirmed 1320-1359 total amid sustained political commentary and xAI momentum. Recent April surges to 57-78 posts per day during SpaceX megabuilding reveals and Grok beta teases have fueled higher-tail bets like 1320+, but competitive dynamics reflect uncertainty over his baseline amid Tesla FSD demos, South Africa critiques, and potential DOGE duties. Swing factors include upcoming Starship flights and Q2 earnings, which could spike viral engagement, while news lulls tilt toward conservative outcomes in this celebrity-driven pop culture staple.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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