Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto's reelection bid in Florida's 9th Congressional District, a majority-Hispanic seat spanning Osceola, Orange, and Polk counties, drives trader consensus at 75% for the Democratic Party, reflecting his consistent victories—including 55% in 2024—and the district's Solid Democratic rating from Cook Political Report. Republican recruitment efforts, targeted by the NRCC as recently as March 2025, have faltered despite hopes of further Hispanic voter shifts seen in Trump's 2024 gains, leaving no formidable GOP challenger yet. With primaries on August 18 and the general election November 3, 2026, odds underscore incumbency advantages and weak opposition in this reliably blue battleground fringe.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
75%
Republican Party
24%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$1,727 거래량
75%
Republican Party
$706 거래량
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto's reelection bid in Florida's 9th Congressional District, a majority-Hispanic seat spanning Osceola, Orange, and Polk counties, drives trader consensus at 75% for the Democratic Party, reflecting his consistent victories—including 55% in 2024—and the district's Solid Democratic rating from Cook Political Report. Republican recruitment efforts, targeted by the NRCC as recently as March 2025, have faltered despite hopes of further Hispanic voter shifts seen in Trump's 2024 gains, leaving no formidable GOP challenger yet. With primaries on August 18 and the general election November 3, 2026, odds underscore incumbency advantages and weak opposition in this reliably blue battleground fringe.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
거래량
$2,433종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto's reelection bid in Florida's 9th Congressional District, a majority-Hispanic seat spanning Osceola, Orange, and Polk counties, drives trader consensus at 75% for the Democratic Party, reflecting his consistent victories—including 55% in 2024—and the district's Solid Democratic rating from Cook Political Report. Republican recruitment efforts, targeted by the NRCC as recently as March 2025, have faltered despite hopes of further Hispanic voter shifts seen in Trump's 2024 gains, leaving no formidable GOP challenger yet. With primaries on August 18 and the general election November 3, 2026, odds underscore incumbency advantages and weak opposition in this reliably blue battleground fringe.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$2,433종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto's reelection bid in Florida's 9th Congressional District, a majority-Hispanic seat spanning Osceola, Orange, and Polk counties, drives trader consensus at 75% for the Democratic Party, reflecting his consistent victories—including 55% in 2024—and the district's Solid Democratic rating from Cook Political Report. Republican recruitment efforts, targeted by the NRCC as recently as March 2025, have faltered despite hopes of further Hispanic voter shifts seen in Trump's 2024 gains, leaving no formidable GOP challenger yet. With primaries on August 18 and the general election November 3, 2026, odds underscore incumbency advantages and weak opposition in this reliably blue battleground fringe.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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