Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 76% to win Florida's 16th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and R+7 Partisan Voter Index, where Republicans have secured double-digit general election victories, including Vern Buchanan's 59.5%-40.5% 2024 win. Buchanan's late-January 2026 retirement opened the race, but a crowded Republican primary field—including Sydney Gruters, John Peters, Ed Pope, and Eddie Speir—signals strong GOP interest and depth, contrasting limited Democratic fundraising from challengers like rematch candidate Jan Schneider, Jonathan Harris, Glenn Pearson, and Tamika Lyles. With the filing deadline April 24, 2026, approaching ahead of the August 18 primary, district fundamentals in Republican-leaning Manatee and south Hillsborough Counties sustain the lopsided odds despite the vacancy.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$10,734 거래량
$10,734 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
76%
민주당
22%
$10,734 거래량
$10,734 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$3,253 거래량
76%
민주당
$7,481 거래량
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 76% to win Florida's 16th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and R+7 Partisan Voter Index, where Republicans have secured double-digit general election victories, including Vern Buchanan's 59.5%-40.5% 2024 win. Buchanan's late-January 2026 retirement opened the race, but a crowded Republican primary field—including Sydney Gruters, John Peters, Ed Pope, and Eddie Speir—signals strong GOP interest and depth, contrasting limited Democratic fundraising from challengers like rematch candidate Jan Schneider, Jonathan Harris, Glenn Pearson, and Tamika Lyles. With the filing deadline April 24, 2026, approaching ahead of the August 18 primary, district fundamentals in Republican-leaning Manatee and south Hillsborough Counties sustain the lopsided odds despite the vacancy.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
거래량
$10,734종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 76% to win Florida's 16th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and R+7 Partisan Voter Index, where Republicans have secured double-digit general election victories, including Vern Buchanan's 59.5%-40.5% 2024 win. Buchanan's late-January 2026 retirement opened the race, but a crowded Republican primary field—including Sydney Gruters, John Peters, Ed Pope, and Eddie Speir—signals strong GOP interest and depth, contrasting limited Democratic fundraising from challengers like rematch candidate Jan Schneider, Jonathan Harris, Glenn Pearson, and Tamika Lyles. With the filing deadline April 24, 2026, approaching ahead of the August 18 primary, district fundamentals in Republican-leaning Manatee and south Hillsborough Counties sustain the lopsided odds despite the vacancy.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$10,734종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 76% to win Florida's 16th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and R+7 Partisan Voter Index, where Republicans have secured double-digit general election victories, including Vern Buchanan's 59.5%-40.5% 2024 win. Buchanan's late-January 2026 retirement opened the race, but a crowded Republican primary field—including Sydney Gruters, John Peters, Ed Pope, and Eddie Speir—signals strong GOP interest and depth, contrasting limited Democratic fundraising from challengers like rematch candidate Jan Schneider, Jonathan Harris, Glenn Pearson, and Tamika Lyles. With the filing deadline April 24, 2026, approaching ahead of the August 18 primary, district fundamentals in Republican-leaning Manatee and south Hillsborough Counties sustain the lopsided odds despite the vacancy.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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