Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 61.5% to retain Florida's 23rd Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz's reelection edge in a South Florida battleground Kamala Harris won narrowly in 2024. Recent special election results, including a Democrat flipping HD-87—a Palm Beach County district Trump carried by 11 points—with a 12-point swing, signal strengthening Democratic turnout and appeal among independents amid broader Florida polling showing tight 2026 races. The NRCC has targeted the seat for a Republican flip, but no major GOP challengers have filed yet ahead of the August 18 primaries. Cook Political Report's ratings position Democrats as House majority favorites, reinforcing the implied probability in this closely contested matchup ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
63%
Republican Party
38%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$46 거래량
63%
Republican Party
$0 거래량
38%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 61.5% to retain Florida's 23rd Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz's reelection edge in a South Florida battleground Kamala Harris won narrowly in 2024. Recent special election results, including a Democrat flipping HD-87—a Palm Beach County district Trump carried by 11 points—with a 12-point swing, signal strengthening Democratic turnout and appeal among independents amid broader Florida polling showing tight 2026 races. The NRCC has targeted the seat for a Republican flip, but no major GOP challengers have filed yet ahead of the August 18 primaries. Cook Political Report's ratings position Democrats as House majority favorites, reinforcing the implied probability in this closely contested matchup ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
거래량
$46종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 61.5% to retain Florida's 23rd Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz's reelection edge in a South Florida battleground Kamala Harris won narrowly in 2024. Recent special election results, including a Democrat flipping HD-87—a Palm Beach County district Trump carried by 11 points—with a 12-point swing, signal strengthening Democratic turnout and appeal among independents amid broader Florida polling showing tight 2026 races. The NRCC has targeted the seat for a Republican flip, but no major GOP challengers have filed yet ahead of the August 18 primaries. Cook Political Report's ratings position Democrats as House majority favorites, reinforcing the implied probability in this closely contested matchup ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$46종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 61.5% to retain Florida's 23rd Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz's reelection edge in a South Florida battleground Kamala Harris won narrowly in 2024. Recent special election results, including a Democrat flipping HD-87—a Palm Beach County district Trump carried by 11 points—with a 12-point swing, signal strengthening Democratic turnout and appeal among independents amid broader Florida polling showing tight 2026 races. The NRCC has targeted the seat for a Republican flip, but no major GOP challengers have filed yet ahead of the August 18 primaries. Cook Political Report's ratings position Democrats as House majority favorites, reinforcing the implied probability in this closely contested matchup ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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