Florida's 23rd congressional district favors Democratic candidates due to its voter composition and the April 2026 redistricting map, which preserved a strong base in Palm Beach County areas. Incumbent Lois Frankel holds a significant advantage heading into the August 18 Democratic primary and November general election, with nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classifying the seat as Solid or Lean Democratic. Republican primary contenders face structural barriers in a district with a D+2 to higher partisan voting index. Trader consensus reflects these electoral fundamentals and historical patterns for incumbents in comparable districts, with limited recent developments altering the outlook ahead of qualifying deadlines.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
84%
Republican Party
16%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$839 거래량
84%
Republican Party
$735 거래량
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 23rd congressional district favors Democratic candidates due to its voter composition and the April 2026 redistricting map, which preserved a strong base in Palm Beach County areas. Incumbent Lois Frankel holds a significant advantage heading into the August 18 Democratic primary and November general election, with nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classifying the seat as Solid or Lean Democratic. Republican primary contenders face structural barriers in a district with a D+2 to higher partisan voting index. Trader consensus reflects these electoral fundamentals and historical patterns for incumbents in comparable districts, with limited recent developments altering the outlook ahead of qualifying deadlines.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
거래량
$1,574종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 23rd congressional district favors Democratic candidates due to its voter composition and the April 2026 redistricting map, which preserved a strong base in Palm Beach County areas. Incumbent Lois Frankel holds a significant advantage heading into the August 18 Democratic primary and November general election, with nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classifying the seat as Solid or Lean Democratic. Republican primary contenders face structural barriers in a district with a D+2 to higher partisan voting index. Trader consensus reflects these electoral fundamentals and historical patterns for incumbents in comparable districts, with limited recent developments altering the outlook ahead of qualifying deadlines.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$1,574종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 23rd congressional district favors Democratic candidates due to its voter composition and the April 2026 redistricting map, which preserved a strong base in Palm Beach County areas. Incumbent Lois Frankel holds a significant advantage heading into the August 18 Democratic primary and November general election, with nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classifying the seat as Solid or Lean Democratic. Republican primary contenders face structural barriers in a district with a D+2 to higher partisan voting index. Trader consensus reflects these electoral fundamentals and historical patterns for incumbents in comparable districts, with limited recent developments altering the outlook ahead of qualifying deadlines.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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