Florida's 28th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean under the 2026 map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis, which analysts project will produce a 24-4 GOP advantage statewide. Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez, who won re-election with 64.6% in 2024, faces limited primary opposition and no competitive Democratic challengers in filings to date. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican, consistent with the district's partisan voting index and historical margins. A court challenge to the map remains unresolved but has not altered its use for the November 2026 general election. Traders' 89.5% consensus on the Republican nominee reflects these structural advantages and the absence of recent developments that would introduce meaningful uncertainty ahead of the August primaries.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
90%
Democratic Party
9%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$2,305 거래량
90%
Democratic Party
$7,693 거래량
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 28th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean under the 2026 map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis, which analysts project will produce a 24-4 GOP advantage statewide. Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez, who won re-election with 64.6% in 2024, faces limited primary opposition and no competitive Democratic challengers in filings to date. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican, consistent with the district's partisan voting index and historical margins. A court challenge to the map remains unresolved but has not altered its use for the November 2026 general election. Traders' 89.5% consensus on the Republican nominee reflects these structural advantages and the absence of recent developments that would introduce meaningful uncertainty ahead of the August primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
거래량
$9,998종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 28th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean under the 2026 map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis, which analysts project will produce a 24-4 GOP advantage statewide. Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez, who won re-election with 64.6% in 2024, faces limited primary opposition and no competitive Democratic challengers in filings to date. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican, consistent with the district's partisan voting index and historical margins. A court challenge to the map remains unresolved but has not altered its use for the November 2026 general election. Traders' 89.5% consensus on the Republican nominee reflects these structural advantages and the absence of recent developments that would introduce meaningful uncertainty ahead of the August primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$9,998종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 28th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean under the 2026 map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis, which analysts project will produce a 24-4 GOP advantage statewide. Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez, who won re-election with 64.6% in 2024, faces limited primary opposition and no competitive Democratic challengers in filings to date. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican, consistent with the district's partisan voting index and historical margins. A court challenge to the map remains unresolved but has not altered its use for the November 2026 general election. Traders' 89.5% consensus on the Republican nominee reflects these structural advantages and the absence of recent developments that would introduce meaningful uncertainty ahead of the August primaries.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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