Georgia's 4th congressional district, anchored in Democratic-leaning suburbs southeast of Atlanta including portions of DeKalb and Gwinnett counties, has delivered consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Hank Johnson, first elected in 2007, secured renomination in the May 2026 Democratic primary with roughly 80% of the vote and faces Republican nominee James Duffie in the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting its voter demographics, past results such as Johnson's 75.6% share in 2024, and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's established partisan baseline and the absence of competitive challengers or major recent shifts that would alter the balance. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal or abrupt national realignment remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$36,771 거래량
$36,771 거래량
민주당
95%
공화당
4%
$36,771 거래량
$36,771 거래량
민주당
95%
공화당
4%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Georgia's 4th congressional district, anchored in Democratic-leaning suburbs southeast of Atlanta including portions of DeKalb and Gwinnett counties, has delivered consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Hank Johnson, first elected in 2007, secured renomination in the May 2026 Democratic primary with roughly 80% of the vote and faces Republican nominee James Duffie in the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting its voter demographics, past results such as Johnson's 75.6% share in 2024, and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's established partisan baseline and the absence of competitive challengers or major recent shifts that would alter the balance. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal or abrupt national realignment remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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