Incumbent Democrat Hank Johnson secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary for Georgia's 4th congressional district, defeating challengers and advancing to face Republican James Duffie in the November general election. The Atlanta-area district's strong Democratic lean, evidenced by Johnson's 2024 reelection margin exceeding 50 points, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Limited Republican investment and the absence of competitive primary dynamics on either side have reinforced this positioning. While late-cycle developments such as a major candidate withdrawal, health event, or national political shift could theoretically alter the race, the district's voting patterns and structural advantages make such scenarios remote before November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$36,787 거래량
$36,787 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
95%
공화당
3%
$36,787 거래량
$36,787 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$21,456 거래량
95%
공화당
$15,331 거래량
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Hank Johnson secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary for Georgia's 4th congressional district, defeating challengers and advancing to face Republican James Duffie in the November general election. The Atlanta-area district's strong Democratic lean, evidenced by Johnson's 2024 reelection margin exceeding 50 points, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Limited Republican investment and the absence of competitive primary dynamics on either side have reinforced this positioning. While late-cycle developments such as a major candidate withdrawal, health event, or national political shift could theoretically alter the race, the district's voting patterns and structural advantages make such scenarios remote before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
거래량
$36,787종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Hank Johnson secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary for Georgia's 4th congressional district, defeating challengers and advancing to face Republican James Duffie in the November general election. The Atlanta-area district's strong Democratic lean, evidenced by Johnson's 2024 reelection margin exceeding 50 points, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Limited Republican investment and the absence of competitive primary dynamics on either side have reinforced this positioning. While late-cycle developments such as a major candidate withdrawal, health event, or national political shift could theoretically alter the race, the district's voting patterns and structural advantages make such scenarios remote before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$36,787종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Hank Johnson secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary for Georgia's 4th congressional district, defeating challengers and advancing to face Republican James Duffie in the November general election. The Atlanta-area district's strong Democratic lean, evidenced by Johnson's 2024 reelection margin exceeding 50 points, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Limited Republican investment and the absence of competitive primary dynamics on either side have reinforced this positioning. While late-cycle developments such as a major candidate withdrawal, health event, or national political shift could theoretically alter the race, the district's voting patterns and structural advantages make such scenarios remote before November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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