Incumbent Hank Johnson (D) solidified his bid for an 11th term by qualifying on March 2 in Georgia's 4th Congressional District, a Cook PVI D+27 stronghold rated Solid Democratic across forecasters, fueling trader consensus on a commanding Democratic hold ahead of the May 19 primaries. Johnson's fundraising edge—over $231,000 in receipts versus none for primary challengers Ansel Postell and Benedict Truman—bolsters his renomination prospects, while Republican James Duffie runs unopposed but lacks resources or profile in a district where Democrats routinely exceed 75% in general elections. Realistic challenges include a surprise Democratic primary upset yielding a weaker nominee, Duffie's unexpected funding surge, or a national GOP wave, though historical precedents favor the incumbent's path to victory on November 3.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$13,240 거래량
$13,240 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
95%
공화당
5%
$13,240 거래량
$13,240 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$8,357 거래량
95%
공화당
$4,883 거래량
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Hank Johnson (D) solidified his bid for an 11th term by qualifying on March 2 in Georgia's 4th Congressional District, a Cook PVI D+27 stronghold rated Solid Democratic across forecasters, fueling trader consensus on a commanding Democratic hold ahead of the May 19 primaries. Johnson's fundraising edge—over $231,000 in receipts versus none for primary challengers Ansel Postell and Benedict Truman—bolsters his renomination prospects, while Republican James Duffie runs unopposed but lacks resources or profile in a district where Democrats routinely exceed 75% in general elections. Realistic challenges include a surprise Democratic primary upset yielding a weaker nominee, Duffie's unexpected funding surge, or a national GOP wave, though historical precedents favor the incumbent's path to victory on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
거래량
$13,240종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Hank Johnson (D) solidified his bid for an 11th term by qualifying on March 2 in Georgia's 4th Congressional District, a Cook PVI D+27 stronghold rated Solid Democratic across forecasters, fueling trader consensus on a commanding Democratic hold ahead of the May 19 primaries. Johnson's fundraising edge—over $231,000 in receipts versus none for primary challengers Ansel Postell and Benedict Truman—bolsters his renomination prospects, while Republican James Duffie runs unopposed but lacks resources or profile in a district where Democrats routinely exceed 75% in general elections. Realistic challenges include a surprise Democratic primary upset yielding a weaker nominee, Duffie's unexpected funding surge, or a national GOP wave, though historical precedents favor the incumbent's path to victory on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$13,240종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Hank Johnson (D) solidified his bid for an 11th term by qualifying on March 2 in Georgia's 4th Congressional District, a Cook PVI D+27 stronghold rated Solid Democratic across forecasters, fueling trader consensus on a commanding Democratic hold ahead of the May 19 primaries. Johnson's fundraising edge—over $231,000 in receipts versus none for primary challengers Ansel Postell and Benedict Truman—bolsters his renomination prospects, while Republican James Duffie runs unopposed but lacks resources or profile in a district where Democrats routinely exceed 75% in general elections. Realistic challenges include a surprise Democratic primary upset yielding a weaker nominee, Duffie's unexpected funding surge, or a national GOP wave, though historical precedents favor the incumbent's path to victory on November 3.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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