Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 67% to win Iowa's 1st Congressional District House seat, driven by challenger Christina Bohannan's fundraising dominance over incumbent Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks in the latest FEC reports released April 17, echoing her near-victory in the tight 2024 race decided by under 1%. The district's toss-up status per Cook Political Report, combined with Bohannan's strong donor support and national Democratic targeting, bolsters her path in the June 2 primaries and general election on November 3. Independent Michael Bridgford's campaign launch this week introduces vote-splitting risk for Republicans, while historical midterm dynamics against the party controlling the White House add uncertainty to the GOP hold.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
68%
Republican Party
31%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$500 거래량
68%
Republican Party
$304 거래량
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 67% to win Iowa's 1st Congressional District House seat, driven by challenger Christina Bohannan's fundraising dominance over incumbent Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks in the latest FEC reports released April 17, echoing her near-victory in the tight 2024 race decided by under 1%. The district's toss-up status per Cook Political Report, combined with Bohannan's strong donor support and national Democratic targeting, bolsters her path in the June 2 primaries and general election on November 3. Independent Michael Bridgford's campaign launch this week introduces vote-splitting risk for Republicans, while historical midterm dynamics against the party controlling the White House add uncertainty to the GOP hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ET
거래량
$804종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 67% to win Iowa's 1st Congressional District House seat, driven by challenger Christina Bohannan's fundraising dominance over incumbent Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks in the latest FEC reports released April 17, echoing her near-victory in the tight 2024 race decided by under 1%. The district's toss-up status per Cook Political Report, combined with Bohannan's strong donor support and national Democratic targeting, bolsters her path in the June 2 primaries and general election on November 3. Independent Michael Bridgford's campaign launch this week introduces vote-splitting risk for Republicans, while historical midterm dynamics against the party controlling the White House add uncertainty to the GOP hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$804종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 67% to win Iowa's 1st Congressional District House seat, driven by challenger Christina Bohannan's fundraising dominance over incumbent Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks in the latest FEC reports released April 17, echoing her near-victory in the tight 2024 race decided by under 1%. The district's toss-up status per Cook Political Report, combined with Bohannan's strong donor support and national Democratic targeting, bolsters her path in the June 2 primaries and general election on November 3. Independent Michael Bridgford's campaign launch this week introduces vote-splitting risk for Republicans, while historical midterm dynamics against the party controlling the White House add uncertainty to the GOP hold.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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