The IA-01 race remains a toss-up heading into November, with traders assigning Democrats the lead based on the district’s narrow 2024 margin and its southeastern Iowa geography spanning Iowa City and Davenport. Incumbent Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks secured her primary nomination by a wide margin on June 2, while Democrat Christina Bohannan, the 2022 and 2024 nominee, did the same and will face Miller-Meeks for a third time. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all classify the seat as competitive, reflecting its status as one of the closest Republican-held districts nationwide. Limited recent polling and standard midterm dynamics continue to shape crowd-sourced probabilities ahead of the general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
72%
Republican Party
33%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$817 거래량
72%
Republican Party
$771 거래량
33%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The IA-01 race remains a toss-up heading into November, with traders assigning Democrats the lead based on the district’s narrow 2024 margin and its southeastern Iowa geography spanning Iowa City and Davenport. Incumbent Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks secured her primary nomination by a wide margin on June 2, while Democrat Christina Bohannan, the 2022 and 2024 nominee, did the same and will face Miller-Meeks for a third time. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all classify the seat as competitive, reflecting its status as one of the closest Republican-held districts nationwide. Limited recent polling and standard midterm dynamics continue to shape crowd-sourced probabilities ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ET
거래량
$1,588종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The IA-01 race remains a toss-up heading into November, with traders assigning Democrats the lead based on the district’s narrow 2024 margin and its southeastern Iowa geography spanning Iowa City and Davenport. Incumbent Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks secured her primary nomination by a wide margin on June 2, while Democrat Christina Bohannan, the 2022 and 2024 nominee, did the same and will face Miller-Meeks for a third time. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all classify the seat as competitive, reflecting its status as one of the closest Republican-held districts nationwide. Limited recent polling and standard midterm dynamics continue to shape crowd-sourced probabilities ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$1,588종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The IA-01 race remains a toss-up heading into November, with traders assigning Democrats the lead based on the district’s narrow 2024 margin and its southeastern Iowa geography spanning Iowa City and Davenport. Incumbent Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks secured her primary nomination by a wide margin on June 2, while Democrat Christina Bohannan, the 2022 and 2024 nominee, did the same and will face Miller-Meeks for a third time. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all classify the seat as competitive, reflecting its status as one of the closest Republican-held districts nationwide. Limited recent polling and standard midterm dynamics continue to shape crowd-sourced probabilities ahead of the general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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