**Incumbent Republican Mary Miller secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Democrat Jennifer Todd in the November 3 general election for Illinois's 15th congressional district.** The rural, central Illinois seat covering areas from Champaign-Urbana to Quincy has long favored Republicans, reflected in Miller's prior victories and the district's consistent partisan lean. Recent primary results showed Miller defeating challengers by wide margins while Todd prevailed in a competitive Democratic field, but no subsequent developments have altered the race's trajectory. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with the seat's "Solid R" rating and limited Democratic infrastructure or polling signals. A late national Democratic wave, unexpected fundraising surge for Todd, or significant Republican scandal could theoretically narrow the gap, though such shifts remain improbable given structural factors and the timeline remaining until Election Day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$22,472 거래량
$22,472 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
94%
민주당
7%
$22,472 거래량
$22,472 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$16,019 거래량
94%
민주당
$6,453 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Republican Mary Miller secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Democrat Jennifer Todd in the November 3 general election for Illinois's 15th congressional district.** The rural, central Illinois seat covering areas from Champaign-Urbana to Quincy has long favored Republicans, reflected in Miller's prior victories and the district's consistent partisan lean. Recent primary results showed Miller defeating challengers by wide margins while Todd prevailed in a competitive Democratic field, but no subsequent developments have altered the race's trajectory. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with the seat's "Solid R" rating and limited Democratic infrastructure or polling signals. A late national Democratic wave, unexpected fundraising surge for Todd, or significant Republican scandal could theoretically narrow the gap, though such shifts remain improbable given structural factors and the timeline remaining until Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$22,472종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Republican Mary Miller secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Democrat Jennifer Todd in the November 3 general election for Illinois's 15th congressional district.** The rural, central Illinois seat covering areas from Champaign-Urbana to Quincy has long favored Republicans, reflected in Miller's prior victories and the district's consistent partisan lean. Recent primary results showed Miller defeating challengers by wide margins while Todd prevailed in a competitive Democratic field, but no subsequent developments have altered the race's trajectory. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with the seat's "Solid R" rating and limited Democratic infrastructure or polling signals. A late national Democratic wave, unexpected fundraising surge for Todd, or significant Republican scandal could theoretically narrow the gap, though such shifts remain improbable given structural factors and the timeline remaining until Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$22,472종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Republican Mary Miller secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Democrat Jennifer Todd in the November 3 general election for Illinois's 15th congressional district.** The rural, central Illinois seat covering areas from Champaign-Urbana to Quincy has long favored Republicans, reflected in Miller's prior victories and the district's consistent partisan lean. Recent primary results showed Miller defeating challengers by wide margins while Todd prevailed in a competitive Democratic field, but no subsequent developments have altered the race's trajectory. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with the seat's "Solid R" rating and limited Democratic infrastructure or polling signals. A late national Democratic wave, unexpected fundraising surge for Todd, or significant Republican scandal could theoretically narrow the gap, though such shifts remain improbable given structural factors and the timeline remaining until Election Day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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