Incumbent Democrat Frank Mrvan secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 80 percent of the vote, facing Republican nominee Barb Regnitz in the November general election. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+1 and nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Likely or Lean Democratic. Mrvan's 2024 general-election margin and the district's modest Democratic tilt underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 81 percent, while the Republican share sits at 17.5 percent. No major shifts in polling, endorsements, or campaign developments have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
81%
Republican Party
19%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$152 거래량
81%
Republican Party
$296 거래량
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Frank Mrvan secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 80 percent of the vote, facing Republican nominee Barb Regnitz in the November general election. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+1 and nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Likely or Lean Democratic. Mrvan's 2024 general-election margin and the district's modest Democratic tilt underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 81 percent, while the Republican share sits at 17.5 percent. No major shifts in polling, endorsements, or campaign developments have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
거래량
$448종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Frank Mrvan secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 80 percent of the vote, facing Republican nominee Barb Regnitz in the November general election. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+1 and nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Likely or Lean Democratic. Mrvan's 2024 general-election margin and the district's modest Democratic tilt underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 81 percent, while the Republican share sits at 17.5 percent. No major shifts in polling, endorsements, or campaign developments have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$448종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Frank Mrvan secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 80 percent of the vote, facing Republican nominee Barb Regnitz in the November general election. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+1 and nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Likely or Lean Democratic. Mrvan's 2024 general-election margin and the district's modest Democratic tilt underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 81 percent, while the Republican share sits at 17.5 percent. No major shifts in polling, endorsements, or campaign developments have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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