The Republican nominee holds a commanding position in Indiana’s 3rd Congressional District race due to the seat’s consistent partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+16 and the incumbent’s 65% victory in 2024. Marlin Stutzman secured the Republican nomination in the May 2026 primary with 68% of the vote against a single challenger, while Democrat Kelly Thompson advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s voting history in northeast Indiana since 2012. A late scandal, serious health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance could narrow the margin, though such shifts would require developments well beyond current indicators.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
7%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$2,608 거래량
93%
Democratic Party
$3,854 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds a commanding position in Indiana’s 3rd Congressional District race due to the seat’s consistent partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+16 and the incumbent’s 65% victory in 2024. Marlin Stutzman secured the Republican nomination in the May 2026 primary with 68% of the vote against a single challenger, while Democrat Kelly Thompson advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s voting history in northeast Indiana since 2012. A late scandal, serious health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance could narrow the margin, though such shifts would require developments well beyond current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$6,462종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds a commanding position in Indiana’s 3rd Congressional District race due to the seat’s consistent partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+16 and the incumbent’s 65% victory in 2024. Marlin Stutzman secured the Republican nomination in the May 2026 primary with 68% of the vote against a single challenger, while Democrat Kelly Thompson advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s voting history in northeast Indiana since 2012. A late scandal, serious health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance could narrow the margin, though such shifts would require developments well beyond current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$6,462종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican nominee holds a commanding position in Indiana’s 3rd Congressional District race due to the seat’s consistent partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+16 and the incumbent’s 65% victory in 2024. Marlin Stutzman secured the Republican nomination in the May 2026 primary with 68% of the vote against a single challenger, while Democrat Kelly Thompson advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s voting history in northeast Indiana since 2012. A late scandal, serious health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance could narrow the margin, though such shifts would require developments well beyond current indicators.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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