Trader consensus prices a Republican victory at 91% in the open Kentucky U.S. Senate race to succeed retiring Sen. Mitch McConnell, reflecting the state's entrenched GOP dominance—Democrats last won here in 1992 amid a national wave—and Trump carried Kentucky by wide margins in recent presidential cycles. Recent Emerson College/FOX56 polling from early April shows Rep. Andy Barr leading the crowded Republican primary at 28% with a fundraising edge exceeding $1.1 million in Q1 2026, while Democrat Charles Booker gains at 35% in his primary, but general matchup simulations favor the GOP nominee heavily. The May 19 primaries loom as the next catalyst, though a GOP scandal, nominee gaffe, or unforeseen national midterm shift would be needed to challenge this commanding position.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican
91%
Democrat
7%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican
$2,318 거래량
91%
Democrat
$1,596 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices a Republican victory at 91% in the open Kentucky U.S. Senate race to succeed retiring Sen. Mitch McConnell, reflecting the state's entrenched GOP dominance—Democrats last won here in 1992 amid a national wave—and Trump carried Kentucky by wide margins in recent presidential cycles. Recent Emerson College/FOX56 polling from early April shows Rep. Andy Barr leading the crowded Republican primary at 28% with a fundraising edge exceeding $1.1 million in Q1 2026, while Democrat Charles Booker gains at 35% in his primary, but general matchup simulations favor the GOP nominee heavily. The May 19 primaries loom as the next catalyst, though a GOP scandal, nominee gaffe, or unforeseen national midterm shift would be needed to challenge this commanding position.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
거래량
$3,914종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices a Republican victory at 91% in the open Kentucky U.S. Senate race to succeed retiring Sen. Mitch McConnell, reflecting the state's entrenched GOP dominance—Democrats last won here in 1992 amid a national wave—and Trump carried Kentucky by wide margins in recent presidential cycles. Recent Emerson College/FOX56 polling from early April shows Rep. Andy Barr leading the crowded Republican primary at 28% with a fundraising edge exceeding $1.1 million in Q1 2026, while Democrat Charles Booker gains at 35% in his primary, but general matchup simulations favor the GOP nominee heavily. The May 19 primaries loom as the next catalyst, though a GOP scandal, nominee gaffe, or unforeseen national midterm shift would be needed to challenge this commanding position.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$3,914종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices a Republican victory at 91% in the open Kentucky U.S. Senate race to succeed retiring Sen. Mitch McConnell, reflecting the state's entrenched GOP dominance—Democrats last won here in 1992 amid a national wave—and Trump carried Kentucky by wide margins in recent presidential cycles. Recent Emerson College/FOX56 polling from early April shows Rep. Andy Barr leading the crowded Republican primary at 28% with a fundraising edge exceeding $1.1 million in Q1 2026, while Democrat Charles Booker gains at 35% in his primary, but general matchup simulations favor the GOP nominee heavily. The May 19 primaries loom as the next catalyst, though a GOP scandal, nominee gaffe, or unforeseen national midterm shift would be needed to challenge this commanding position.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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