Kentucky's deep Republican tilt, with the state delivering a 30-point margin for President Trump in 2024 and no Democratic Senate victory in the 21st century, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring Republican nominee Andy Barr over Democrat Charles Booker. Mitch McConnell's retirement opened the seat, and May 19 primaries produced clear nominees: Barr secured the GOP nod with roughly 60% of the vote after Trump's endorsement cleared the field, while Booker claimed the Democratic primary for a second time. These results, combined with the state's electoral history and limited crossover appeal for Democratic candidates in federal races, shape current market positioning ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
앤디 바(공)
89%
찰스 부커 (민주당)
10%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
앤디 바(공)
$4,460 거래량
89%
찰스 부커 (민주당)
$4,488 거래량
10%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kentucky's deep Republican tilt, with the state delivering a 30-point margin for President Trump in 2024 and no Democratic Senate victory in the 21st century, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring Republican nominee Andy Barr over Democrat Charles Booker. Mitch McConnell's retirement opened the seat, and May 19 primaries produced clear nominees: Barr secured the GOP nod with roughly 60% of the vote after Trump's endorsement cleared the field, while Booker claimed the Democratic primary for a second time. These results, combined with the state's electoral history and limited crossover appeal for Democratic candidates in federal races, shape current market positioning ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
거래량
$8,948종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kentucky's deep Republican tilt, with the state delivering a 30-point margin for President Trump in 2024 and no Democratic Senate victory in the 21st century, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring Republican nominee Andy Barr over Democrat Charles Booker. Mitch McConnell's retirement opened the seat, and May 19 primaries produced clear nominees: Barr secured the GOP nod with roughly 60% of the vote after Trump's endorsement cleared the field, while Booker claimed the Democratic primary for a second time. These results, combined with the state's electoral history and limited crossover appeal for Democratic candidates in federal races, shape current market positioning ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$8,948종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kentucky's deep Republican tilt, with the state delivering a 30-point margin for President Trump in 2024 and no Democratic Senate victory in the 21st century, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring Republican nominee Andy Barr over Democrat Charles Booker. Mitch McConnell's retirement opened the seat, and May 19 primaries produced clear nominees: Barr secured the GOP nod with roughly 60% of the vote after Trump's endorsement cleared the field, while Booker claimed the Democratic primary for a second time. These results, combined with the state's electoral history and limited crossover appeal for Democratic candidates in federal races, shape current market positioning ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문