Kentucky's solidly Republican electorate and the outcome of the May 2026 primaries have shaped trader consensus around the November general election for the open Senate seat. Republican nominee Andy Barr secured his party's nomination with strong backing from President Trump, defeating other contenders in a contest that highlighted party alignment on key priorities. Democratic nominee Charles Booker advanced after prevailing in his primary rematch but faces structural challenges in a state where no Democrat has won a Senate race since 1999. These factors, including the general election timeline and limited recent polling shifts, underpin the current implied probabilities for each candidate.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
앤디 바(공)
89%
찰스 부커 (민주당)
9%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
앤디 바(공)
$4,515 거래량
89%
찰스 부커 (민주당)
$4,488 거래량
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kentucky's solidly Republican electorate and the outcome of the May 2026 primaries have shaped trader consensus around the November general election for the open Senate seat. Republican nominee Andy Barr secured his party's nomination with strong backing from President Trump, defeating other contenders in a contest that highlighted party alignment on key priorities. Democratic nominee Charles Booker advanced after prevailing in his primary rematch but faces structural challenges in a state where no Democrat has won a Senate race since 1999. These factors, including the general election timeline and limited recent polling shifts, underpin the current implied probabilities for each candidate.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
거래량
$9,003종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kentucky's solidly Republican electorate and the outcome of the May 2026 primaries have shaped trader consensus around the November general election for the open Senate seat. Republican nominee Andy Barr secured his party's nomination with strong backing from President Trump, defeating other contenders in a contest that highlighted party alignment on key priorities. Democratic nominee Charles Booker advanced after prevailing in his primary rematch but faces structural challenges in a state where no Democrat has won a Senate race since 1999. These factors, including the general election timeline and limited recent polling shifts, underpin the current implied probabilities for each candidate.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$9,003종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kentucky's solidly Republican electorate and the outcome of the May 2026 primaries have shaped trader consensus around the November general election for the open Senate seat. Republican nominee Andy Barr secured his party's nomination with strong backing from President Trump, defeating other contenders in a contest that highlighted party alignment on key priorities. Democratic nominee Charles Booker advanced after prevailing in his primary rematch but faces structural challenges in a state where no Democrat has won a Senate race since 1999. These factors, including the general election timeline and limited recent polling shifts, underpin the current implied probabilities for each candidate.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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