South Korean President Lee Jae-myung's constitutional immunity from criminal prosecution—except for insurrection or treason—under Article 84 anchors trader consensus at heavy odds against his arrest before 2027, as all five prior criminal trials involving election law violations, development scandals like Daejang-dong, and alleged North Korea remittances were suspended upon his June 2025 inauguration following Yoon Suk Yeol's impeachment. No new indictments or arrest warrants have emerged in recent months amid his active diplomacy with China, Japan, and North Korea, while investigations into his 2024 assassination attempt proceed separately. With his term extending to 2030, barring unprecedented charges, structural protections sustain the market's strong "No" positioning.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트이재명이 2027년 이전에 체포됐다고요?
이재명이 2027년 이전에 체포됐다고요?
예
$56,025 거래량
$56,025 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$56,025 거래량
$56,025 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korean President Lee Jae-myung's constitutional immunity from criminal prosecution—except for insurrection or treason—under Article 84 anchors trader consensus at heavy odds against his arrest before 2027, as all five prior criminal trials involving election law violations, development scandals like Daejang-dong, and alleged North Korea remittances were suspended upon his June 2025 inauguration following Yoon Suk Yeol's impeachment. No new indictments or arrest warrants have emerged in recent months amid his active diplomacy with China, Japan, and North Korea, while investigations into his 2024 assassination attempt proceed separately. With his term extending to 2030, barring unprecedented charges, structural protections sustain the market's strong "No" positioning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET
거래량
$56,025종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korean President Lee Jae-myung's constitutional immunity from criminal prosecution—except for insurrection or treason—under Article 84 anchors trader consensus at heavy odds against his arrest before 2027, as all five prior criminal trials involving election law violations, development scandals like Daejang-dong, and alleged North Korea remittances were suspended upon his June 2025 inauguration following Yoon Suk Yeol's impeachment. No new indictments or arrest warrants have emerged in recent months amid his active diplomacy with China, Japan, and North Korea, while investigations into his 2024 assassination attempt proceed separately. With his term extending to 2030, barring unprecedented charges, structural protections sustain the market's strong "No" positioning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$56,025종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...South Korean President Lee Jae-myung's constitutional immunity from criminal prosecution—except for insurrection or treason—under Article 84 anchors trader consensus at heavy odds against his arrest before 2027, as all five prior criminal trials involving election law violations, development scandals like Daejang-dong, and alleged North Korea remittances were suspended upon his June 2025 inauguration following Yoon Suk Yeol's impeachment. No new indictments or arrest warrants have emerged in recent months amid his active diplomacy with China, Japan, and North Korea, while investigations into his 2024 assassination attempt proceed separately. With his term extending to 2030, barring unprecedented charges, structural protections sustain the market's strong "No" positioning.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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