President Lee Jae-myung's commanding majority in South Korea's National Assembly, held by his Democratic Party of Korea with over 170 seats following the 2024 legislative elections, renders impeachment before 2027 improbable, as it requires a two-thirds supermajority (200 votes) that the fractured People Power Party opposition—holding around 108 seats and polling at historic lows—cannot muster. Courts have indefinitely suspended his multiple pre-presidency trials on election law violations and scandals under Article 84 presidential immunity, removing immediate legal catalysts. Recent developments, including March 2026 judicial reforms he approved and a new cabinet lineup, have stabilized his administration amid minor party rifts, with no active impeachment motions despite conservative criticism; trader consensus reflects this entrenched position barring a major scandal or coalition shift ahead of June local elections.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
신규
신규
2026.12.31
신규
신규
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.President Lee Jae-myung's commanding majority in South Korea's National Assembly, held by his Democratic Party of Korea with over 170 seats following the 2024 legislative elections, renders impeachment before 2027 improbable, as it requires a two-thirds supermajority (200 votes) that the fractured People Power Party opposition—holding around 108 seats and polling at historic lows—cannot muster. Courts have indefinitely suspended his multiple pre-presidency trials on election law violations and scandals under Article 84 presidential immunity, removing immediate legal catalysts. Recent developments, including March 2026 judicial reforms he approved and a new cabinet lineup, have stabilized his administration amid minor party rifts, with no active impeachment motions despite conservative criticism; trader consensus reflects this entrenched position barring a major scandal or coalition shift ahead of June local elections.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
마켓 개설일: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
거래량
$6,089종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.President Lee Jae-myung's commanding majority in South Korea's National Assembly, held by his Democratic Party of Korea with over 170 seats following the 2024 legislative elections, renders impeachment before 2027 improbable, as it requires a two-thirds supermajority (200 votes) that the fractured People Power Party opposition—holding around 108 seats and polling at historic lows—cannot muster. Courts have indefinitely suspended his multiple pre-presidency trials on election law violations and scandals under Article 84 presidential immunity, removing immediate legal catalysts. Recent developments, including March 2026 judicial reforms he approved and a new cabinet lineup, have stabilized his administration amid minor party rifts, with no active impeachment motions despite conservative criticism; trader consensus reflects this entrenched position barring a major scandal or coalition shift ahead of June local elections.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
거래량
$6,089종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Lee Jae-myung's commanding majority in South Korea's National Assembly, held by his Democratic Party of Korea with over 170 seats following the 2024 legislative elections, renders impeachment before 2027 improbable, as it requires a two-thirds supermajority (200 votes) that the fractured People Power Party opposition—holding around 108 seats and polling at historic lows—cannot muster. Courts have indefinitely suspended his multiple pre-presidency trials on election law violations and scandals under Article 84 presidential immunity, removing immediate legal catalysts. Recent developments, including March 2026 judicial reforms he approved and a new cabinet lineup, have stabilized his administration amid minor party rifts, with no active impeachment motions despite conservative criticism; trader consensus reflects this entrenched position barring a major scandal or coalition shift ahead of June local elections.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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