The strong Democratic lean of Massachusetts' 1st Congressional District, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+8, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Richard Neal, who won reelection in 2024 by a wide margin, faces only a minor primary challenge ahead of the September 1, 2026, Democratic primary and no competitive Republican opposition. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district's consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. A late retirement by Neal or an unanticipated national shift in voter sentiment within the resolution window could alter dynamics, though historical patterns in similarly partisan districts indicate limited volatility.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$12,958 거래량
$12,958 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$12,958 거래량
$12,958 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$7,946 거래량
94%
Republican Party
$5,012 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of Massachusetts' 1st Congressional District, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+8, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Richard Neal, who won reelection in 2024 by a wide margin, faces only a minor primary challenge ahead of the September 1, 2026, Democratic primary and no competitive Republican opposition. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district's consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. A late retirement by Neal or an unanticipated national shift in voter sentiment within the resolution window could alter dynamics, though historical patterns in similarly partisan districts indicate limited volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$12,958종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of Massachusetts' 1st Congressional District, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+8, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Richard Neal, who won reelection in 2024 by a wide margin, faces only a minor primary challenge ahead of the September 1, 2026, Democratic primary and no competitive Republican opposition. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district's consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. A late retirement by Neal or an unanticipated national shift in voter sentiment within the resolution window could alter dynamics, though historical patterns in similarly partisan districts indicate limited volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$12,958종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic lean of Massachusetts' 1st Congressional District, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+8, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Richard Neal, who won reelection in 2024 by a wide margin, faces only a minor primary challenge ahead of the September 1, 2026, Democratic primary and no competitive Republican opposition. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district's consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. A late retirement by Neal or an unanticipated national shift in voter sentiment within the resolution window could alter dynamics, though historical patterns in similarly partisan districts indicate limited volatility.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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