Maryland's 5th Congressional District (MD-05), with a D+17 partisan lean, anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic Party winner in the November 2026 general election, reflecting its history of lopsided results and forecaster ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic. Longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer's January 2026 retirement announcement sparked a crowded 22-candidate Democratic primary on June 23, featuring contenders like Harry Dunn and Hoyer-endorsed Adrian Boafo, while Republicans field just three lesser-known challengers amid minimal fundraising or buzz. Absent recent catalysts, this structural dominance persists; upset scenarios include a high-profile Republican recruit, Democratic nominee scandal post-primary, or a national GOP midterm wave boosting turnout in battleground districts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$2,292 거래량
93%
Republican Party
$869 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 5th Congressional District (MD-05), with a D+17 partisan lean, anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic Party winner in the November 2026 general election, reflecting its history of lopsided results and forecaster ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic. Longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer's January 2026 retirement announcement sparked a crowded 22-candidate Democratic primary on June 23, featuring contenders like Harry Dunn and Hoyer-endorsed Adrian Boafo, while Republicans field just three lesser-known challengers amid minimal fundraising or buzz. Absent recent catalysts, this structural dominance persists; upset scenarios include a high-profile Republican recruit, Democratic nominee scandal post-primary, or a national GOP midterm wave boosting turnout in battleground districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$3,161종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 5th Congressional District (MD-05), with a D+17 partisan lean, anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic Party winner in the November 2026 general election, reflecting its history of lopsided results and forecaster ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic. Longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer's January 2026 retirement announcement sparked a crowded 22-candidate Democratic primary on June 23, featuring contenders like Harry Dunn and Hoyer-endorsed Adrian Boafo, while Republicans field just three lesser-known challengers amid minimal fundraising or buzz. Absent recent catalysts, this structural dominance persists; upset scenarios include a high-profile Republican recruit, Democratic nominee scandal post-primary, or a national GOP midterm wave boosting turnout in battleground districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$3,161종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 5th Congressional District (MD-05), with a D+17 partisan lean, anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic Party winner in the November 2026 general election, reflecting its history of lopsided results and forecaster ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic. Longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer's January 2026 retirement announcement sparked a crowded 22-candidate Democratic primary on June 23, featuring contenders like Harry Dunn and Hoyer-endorsed Adrian Boafo, while Republicans field just three lesser-known challengers amid minimal fundraising or buzz. Absent recent catalysts, this structural dominance persists; upset scenarios include a high-profile Republican recruit, Democratic nominee scandal post-primary, or a national GOP midterm wave boosting turnout in battleground districts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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