Maryland’s 5th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+17, reflecting consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent presidential and House contests that underpin the 94 percent trader consensus favoring a Democratic general-election winner. Longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer’s January retirement created an open seat and triggered a crowded Democratic primary scheduled for June 23, yet nonpartisan forecasters continue to rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic because the district’s underlying partisan composition across southern Maryland and Prince George’s County suburbs has not changed. Republicans face their own primary but start from a deep structural deficit. A national political reversal or unusually low Democratic turnout could theoretically narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability events within the current resolution window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$15,921 거래량
$15,921 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
5%
$15,921 거래량
$15,921 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$8,513 거래량
94%
Republican Party
$7,408 거래량
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 5th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+17, reflecting consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent presidential and House contests that underpin the 94 percent trader consensus favoring a Democratic general-election winner. Longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer’s January retirement created an open seat and triggered a crowded Democratic primary scheduled for June 23, yet nonpartisan forecasters continue to rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic because the district’s underlying partisan composition across southern Maryland and Prince George’s County suburbs has not changed. Republicans face their own primary but start from a deep structural deficit. A national political reversal or unusually low Democratic turnout could theoretically narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability events within the current resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$15,921종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 5th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+17, reflecting consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent presidential and House contests that underpin the 94 percent trader consensus favoring a Democratic general-election winner. Longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer’s January retirement created an open seat and triggered a crowded Democratic primary scheduled for June 23, yet nonpartisan forecasters continue to rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic because the district’s underlying partisan composition across southern Maryland and Prince George’s County suburbs has not changed. Republicans face their own primary but start from a deep structural deficit. A national political reversal or unusually low Democratic turnout could theoretically narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability events within the current resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$15,921종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 5th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+17, reflecting consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent presidential and House contests that underpin the 94 percent trader consensus favoring a Democratic general-election winner. Longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer’s January retirement created an open seat and triggered a crowded Democratic primary scheduled for June 23, yet nonpartisan forecasters continue to rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic because the district’s underlying partisan composition across southern Maryland and Prince George’s County suburbs has not changed. Republicans face their own primary but start from a deep structural deficit. A national political reversal or unusually low Democratic turnout could theoretically narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability events within the current resolution window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문